From PublicAddress.net
Monday the papers were full of praise for the All Blacks. Highest points scorers ever (309) almost 100 points ahead of Australia (215). New Zealand also ran in a record 46 tries, 16 more than the Aussies.
Of course these are things you can glean for yourself just by looking at the points table.
Other stats easily viewable but not reported include:
• Fiji was outscored 114 for to 136 against and made it through to the quarterfinals
• New Zealand had the best points differential with 274, again 100 points clear of the Aussies
• Of the four pools, five teams didn't win a game (USA, Japan, Canada, Portugal, Namiba)
• Canada and Namibia were the only teams not to earn a bonus point.
But as we say, these are easy stats. So let's make it harder.
After extensively trolling the internet we constructed ourselves a data set from which we gleaned the following moderately interesting stats:
• Number of games won by the team with the least possession: 12
• Number of games won by a team trailing at the 60 min mark: 1 (Romania over Portugal)
• Least amount of total time spent in the opposition 22 during a game: 22 seconds (Canada against Australia)
• Team that spent the least amount of time in the opposition 22 (summed across all games): Tonga – 12 mins 29 seconds.
It's a trainspotter's delight out there, if you know where to look.
So now down to the serious business. How do the All Blacks stack up against the other teams in the Quarters, in the places it counts? We've compiled stats about gameplay, and broken the important stuff down into four main areas, Possession and Handling, Scrums, Kicking and Lineouts, and Defence.
And we're thinking it does not tell a positive picture.
Possession and Handling
We know that New Zealand has been making handling errors. We made the most in fact: 58 in total (followed by Romania and Scotland on 49). But you'd argue that this was because we had the ball more often right? Our average possession was a very average 54% (France had the most at 60%), so that means we were bound to have more handling errors?
| Team | Average Possession % |
|---|---|
| France | 60% |
| Australia | 57% |
| Argentina | 55% |
| New Zealand | 54% |
| Scotland | 50% |
| South Africa | 48% |
| England | 45% |
| Fiji | 44% |
Well, you'd be right. We mishandled about as much as the other major teams, per minute of possession that is. New Zealand's rate of handling errors per minute of possession is 0.3, too large a number to be discounted. In practical terms, that means on average for every three minutes it holds it the ball New Zealand will mishandle it at least once. In comparison, France will only mishandle once every five minutes.
Comparing the handling error rate of all teams in the quarters, we are, in fact, among the worst.
| Team | Handling Errors, per Minute of Possession |
|---|---|
| New Zealand | 0.34 |
| Scotland | 0.30 |
| South Africa | 0.27 |
| Fiji | 0.27 |
| Australia | 0.25 |
| Argentina | 0.25 |
| France | 0.22 |
| England | 0.21 |
Hopefully our large number of tries should balance this poor ball handling out, right? After all, our rate of tries per minute of possession was 0.27! The next down was South Africa on 0.16. But we think relying on this number is just being optimistic.
| Team | Tries, per Minute of Possession |
|---|---|
| New Zealand | 0.27 |
| South Africa | 0.16 |
| Australia | 0.16 |
| France | 0.13 |
| Fiji | 0.10 |
| Argentina | 0.09 |
| Scotland | 0.09 |
| England | 0.08 |
Scrums
We're concerned because, what happens after a handling error? That's right, a scrum, so perhaps we can counter our poor handling by winning scrums against the head. Unfortunately, the All Blacks have only won 7% of opposition scrums, while the much-maligned Australian scrum is winning 16%. Still the All Blacks can take some heart that in one game they packed down against the best scrum at the rugby world cup: Italy.
No really, Italy.
The Italian scrum won 97% of its own put ins (equal with England) and 22% of the opposition's put ins. This awesome scrum power is the reason Italy is also the second team most likely to win back the ball after a handling error. Italy recovered the ball 18% of the time behind the awesome might of England with 23%.
But, when comparing our rate of winning against the head with other quarterfinalists, we're faring poorly.
| Team | Scrums Won (%) | Scrums Won Against the Head (%) |
|---|---|---|
| France | 92% | 21% |
| England | 97% | 16% |
| Australia | 90% | 16% |
| Argentina | 97% | 13% |
| South Africa | 90% | 10% |
| New Zealand | 92% | 7% |
| Scotland | 82% | 5% |
| Fiji | 70% | 0% |
| Team | Lineouts Won (%) | Opposition Lineouts Won (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Australia | 96% | 34% |
| South Africa | 91% | 30% |
| France | 93% | 29% |
| Scotland | 88% | 28% |
| England | 86% | 21% |
| New Zealand | 95% | 18% |
| Argentina | 88% | 17% |
| Fiji | 72% | 7% |
| Team | Successful Tackle (%) | Turnover per Tackle (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Australia | 94% | 7% |
| France | 91% | 4% |
| New Zealand | 90% | 8% |
| Argentina | 89% | 6% |
| South Africa | 85% | 7% |
| Scotland | 85% | 4% |
| England | 84% | 4% |
| Fiji | 81% | 5% |