Posts by Ian Dalziel

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  • Hard News: #eqnz: Okay?, in reply to Farmer Green,

    The take- home from this event is slowly sinking in now that we are up and running sort of . . . viz. that had this been the big one – the 8.5 + Richter on the Alpine Fault – the country is totally unprepared, and within a week or so chaos would have ensued.
    .... Here we have backup generation, and backup generators for the backup generators. We also have solar but that is barely useful in the Big One.

    As these ‘off the grid’ eco- tourist lodge owners have found, preparation is only part of the equation…

    OFF THE GRID – LITERALLY
    Niky McArthur was on the verge of tears as she talked about the state of her ecotourism business, Kaikoura Wilderness, which is located in a remote valley north of Kaikoura.
    “I always thought that whatever was happening in the world we’d be self sufficient up there,” she said.
    Monday morning’s earthquake had crippled the “off the grid” Puhi Puhi Rd business, which offered accommodation and guided walks.
    Battery banks powering the lodge were destroyed, gas bottles tipped over and water tanks cracked.
    The road to the site was impassable and likely would be for many months.
    “I’m not sure if I’m going to cry or not. I’m quite shell-shocked. We won’t be able to run a business for [at least] six months. It’s going to have a devastating effect.”

    (my bolding)

    source: http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/86460484/stranded-kaikoura-residents-offered-flights-out-but-weather-could-hamper-evacuations

    Christchurch • Since Dec 2006 • 7068 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: The fake news problem, in reply to Tom Semmens,

    regurgitating of pap sourced from the Disgusting Daily Mail

    Must admit I was stunned to see a Herald article on the earthquakes today with this

    - additional reporting Daily Mail

    at the end !!!
    see:
    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11748647

    I know SH1 is closed, but that is definitely the scenic route for reporting to take (via the Northern Hemisphere...)

    Christchurch • Since Dec 2006 • 7068 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: #eqnz: Okay?, in reply to steven crawford,

    This substation was producing very unnatural noises.

    Is that the substation near Paekakariki?

    Christchurch • Since Dec 2006 • 7068 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: The fake news problem, in reply to Deborah,

    all the frothing from Wikileaks

    I suspect Wikileaks is now well past its 'use-by' date, it seems to me it used to not have all the 'agenda baggage' it now carries, or that Assange has burdened it with...

    Christchurch • Since Dec 2006 • 7068 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: The fake news problem,

    The idea that AI will actually write most of the news we see is genuinely horrifying.

    The Singularity University 'Roadshow' is in Chchch at the moment
    http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/86429504/singularity-u-the-disruption-will-take-your-job-even-if-youre-a-doctor

    Christchurch • Since Dec 2006 • 7068 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: #eqnz: Okay?, in reply to izogi,

    discerning between “the Moon influences earthquakes” and “the Moon is any use for predicting earthquakes”.

    Agreed...

    I was interested in this study of gravitational field anomalies prior to major earthquakes, detected by satellite.
    Detection of gravity changes before powerful earthquakes in GRACE satellite observations

    full pdf:
    http://www.annalsofgeophysics.eu/index.php/annals/article/view/6612/6394

    I read somewhere this and other realtime applications of it were hampered by lack of processing power and satellite access, imagine if some of or all of the Five Eyes type resources were diverted to proactive work rather than paranoia - I'd wouldn't be surprised the NSA's new supercomputers could correlate this data on the fly.

    Christchurch • Since Dec 2006 • 7068 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: #eqnz: Okay?,

    Attachment

    The Battle of the Bulge...
    I suspect there may well be some epiphenomenal connections with lunar and tidal cycles, especially around subduction zones - as the earth's magma is also affected by the tidal frequency, who's to say there aren't knock on effects when a bit of slack in the system caused by the passing bulge suddenly allows a large object to pass into the magma chamber, freeing up mass behind in a rush, releasing strain on a connected tectonic system. (see 1* and 2*)

    Much like the regular 'catch and release' that happens (in geological time) up the Kermadec Trench where a chain of undersea volcanoes are sucked under the Australian Plate (pic above) firing tsunamis and earthquakes towards the Bay of Plenty from time immemorial... (the chain gets gradually closer to NZ - so that is something to warn future generations about)

    Heck, look at the various tumbles and turns that Uluru/Ayers Rock took over millennia to get where it is, imagine something that large suddenly popping through into the molten zone...
    (see 3*)

    This is not to say every Super Moon or Full Moon (or close approach to the sun as well) will cause an earthquake, but they might always raise the odds and test a delicate system for confluences of geological events and other 'chinks in the armour'...


    see:
    1*: http://hvo.wr.usgs.gov/volcanowatch/archive/1998/98_05_28.html
    2*: http://phys.org/news/2014-01-moon-gravity-world-largest-tides.html
    3*:
    http://www.environment.gov.au/topics/national-parks/uluru-kata-tjuta-national-park/natural-environment/geology

    Christchurch • Since Dec 2006 • 7068 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: #eqnz: Okay?,

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    I also note that The Herald and TV1 news tonight both have trouble spelling Hanmer Springs correctly in captions and headings.
    'No ham in Hanmer and no sun in Sumner' - easy to remember!

    Christchurch • Since Dec 2006 • 7068 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: #eqnz: Okay?,

    Walking at their side...
    I see John Key on some news programme (Sky News maybe) saying words to the effect of 'at the end of the day houses can be rebuilt' - while failing to say that if the Government does it, they make take a coupla goes to get it right, and make it an ordeal of another magnitude along the way.

    Still, it's nice to note Richie McCaw doing some helicopter work in the area - good to know he's still a safe pair of hands at the breakdown...

    Christchurch • Since Dec 2006 • 7068 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: A Singer Must Die - Leonard…,

    Christchurch • Since Dec 2006 • 7068 posts Report Reply

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