Posts by Rich of Observationz

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  • Legal Beagle: Just get the App, already,

    I can't demonstrate this, but I've got a fairly clear recollection that it used to be possible (in Auckland) to get a boarding pass at the gate and/or the Koru Klub, and that there were kiosks at the KK for this purpose. In that case, Air NZ were encouraging a substantial number of passengers to breach aviation law?

    (And I see I noted this originally and AirNZ still sez you can go to gate with an eticket bar code)

    Are all etickets deemed boarding passes? Or do they become passes only when printed?

    I still think the actual reasoning was that it was decided that Brownlee should pay a fine in order to receive absolution, and the status of not having a boarding pass was dragged up in order to justify this. Has anyone else ever been fined for this infringement?

    Back in Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 5372 posts Report Reply

  • Polity: Four thoughts on polling in…,

    And an ambassador - with a Ferraro Rocher budget no doubt.. A cynic might think that Woolf is being given unlimited free travel in return for his support on any issues Lester wants votes on.

    Back in Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 5372 posts Report Reply

  • Polity: Four thoughts on polling in…, in reply to Sacha,

    A fairly large percentage of active cellphone numbers are electricity meters (most smart meters have a GPRS/3G 'modem' as their comms method and because all GSM endpoints need a number, they have one).

    Still, electricity meters might have more sensible political opinions than many voters.

    Back in Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 5372 posts Report Reply

  • Polity: Four thoughts on polling in…,

    I guess the issue is that you get a sample of people that respond to your polling which isn't congruent with the people that vote.

    Does robopolling acquire any demographics? It would seem hard to (beyond simple stuff like analysing address, name, maybe age if you have the electoral roll - is a candidate allowed to provide their electoral roll data to a contracted polling company?)

    Once you've got this, the special sauce is in how you compensate for the sample - and if there's a big pool of voters where you have a miniscule amount of data (voters with no answered landline) then there's a question as to how much the knowledge you do have tells you about the unpolled groups.

    Back in Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 5372 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: Confessions of an Uber Driver…,

    If you've got a database like Uber's (or even from publically accessible resources like Google Maps) then it's fairly straightforward to estimate within reasonable margins the journey time/distance and give the passenger a firm quote - which wouldn't often lose the driver money. If they want to reroute, they get a new price (what happens if you book a conventional private hire and decide you want to divert?)

    Back in Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 5372 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Friday Music! Special Records,

    considerable fleet of DJs

    I thought the collective noun for a group of DJs was a "flange", like baboons.

    Back in Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 5372 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Trump's Dummkopfs,

    Trump doesn't seem that far behind on average (is this site real?).

    Could still win - there'll be a lot of voters who won't admit to a pollster they support him.

    Back in Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 5372 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Trump's Dummkopfs, in reply to Ian Dalziel,

    Surely you need *low* level sources to detect demons?

    Back in Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 5372 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Trump's Dummkopfs,

    How it came down to this clown being the best the Republicans have to offer is just an indictment on their party

    It's more that, for the second half of the twentieth century, the middle-class American worker did very well - they had job security, could afford a reasonable house and all the consumer goods they could aspire to. If they wanted (e.g) a snowmobile, they didn't have to save up, they went out and bought one.

    That's all been eroded, and people are legitimately pissed off. For the wealthy, who've largely benefited from the erosion of workers benefits, this is a worry - the working classes might start supporting something close to socialism. So people like the Koch brothers have sponsored this astroturf movement to create a right-wing 'revolution' that turns workers on each other and away from the rich.

    This happened before: Henry Ford, Alfried Krupp and many others were enthusiasts for a workers revolutionary ideology that didn't attack capitalism.

    Back in Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 5372 posts Report Reply

  • Legal Beagle: Voting in an STV election,

    “media” workers have only ever had a very basic understanding of how STV works

    And as this thread demonstrates, people who understand STV haven't cracked being able to explain it to anyone who isn't a voting system geek.

    Back in Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 5372 posts Report Reply

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