Hard News: Prospects
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Credit controls? Yikes, they've been out of fashion for a very long time...
So has nationalising banks.
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__Greens will be around 13%__
That puts me in parliament.
I guess I owe you a beer, then !Mikaere, I think we'd all feel a little sense of ownership if that happened. Good luck.
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Those figures from 2005 pre-election polling are interesting. So we're actually talking about a swing to National of only about 5%? That's not exactly huge, is it?
In other news: I still think we're fucked. Sigh.
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Mr Barnes: Guess which finger I've got rigidly extended at this very moment?
Not sure Craig but while you're there check that prostate.
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Why can't we vote over a weekend?
You've been able to cast early votes for weeks, does that count ?. I did that last time and it was a breeze, so am interested to here that AUT was oversubscribed.
I like the single general polling day approach because it means you get a result that night.
I don't know. A Telethon style TV weekend marathon with the target being 100% voter turnout could work. Although we would have to make do without Pete Sinclair.
New Total!!
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In other news: I still think we're fucked. Sigh.
Oh Danielle, don't believe the hype. Stay positive, vote early, vote often.
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mjl,
The thing I like best about John Campbell is the irony of him playing a clip of the daily show's indecision 08 on Wednesday (the final end-game alpha action ... judgement day '08) for lulz sake just two days after those appalling ads for TV3's leaders debate had finished.
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The thing I like best about John Campbel ...
Actually, I should make it clear I like John Campbell -- and his new stand-up screen thing.
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while you're there check that prostate
Rofflenui. Made my arvo. :)
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Here is a question - anyone know what is happening in the Rimutaka electorate? How rich would it be for Winston to get back in on Ron Mark's back!
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Tom: AFAIK, no newspaper has published a poll on it. Ditto Mangere. Which is a shame, really.
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Whose prostate are we talking about?
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Not mine, I reassure you..
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Today Helen Clark and John Key had their final rallies and walkabouts of the campaign, drawing dozens - possibly even hundreds - of followers.
Meanwhile ...
Thousands of people thronged the capital's central business district today for the inaugural Wellington Boobs on Bikes parade.
Two Tits beats Two Ticks.
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I still think we're fucked. Sigh.
Danielle, sweetie, get out there, do the right thing, and help to push NZ First over 5% -- and maybe you won't be fucked after all.
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Danielle, sweetie, get out there, do the right thing, and help to push NZ First over 5%
<holds knitting needles aloft> To the Henderson RSA! Who's with me?
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Depending on Ron Mark.
GRN 13 13
JAP 01 01
LAB 43 41
MĀP 4+ 4+
NZF -- 05
UFY 02 02
NAT 52 49
ACT 05 05TOT 120+ either way. NZF just happens to steal 3 N and 2 L, but could be 1 Green instead of a Nat.
57-59 + Māori, or 55-56 + Māori + NZF. Hung either way, really.
Labor maybe pulls more Māori vote and pushes the overhang by
one. National maybe hangs on to more of the Act vote, but I think that lot are going home. Māori maybe wins 5, 6, or even 7, pushing the threshold. None of that can change the balance. -
A S,
Here is a question - anyone know what is happening in the Rimutaka electorate? How rich would it be for Winston to get back in on Ron Mark's back!
According to ipredict, his chances are somewhere between slim and none. As close to a poll as I've seen anywhere:
https://www.ipredict.co.nz/Main.php?do=stock_detail&stock=RIMUTAKA.MARK
Will be interesting to watch nonetheless.
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Pete,
I reckon John Key is going to warm to the job and grow more decisive. He's got that reputation of having an excellent compass but no keel but I think he'll come right.
I hate to think of Gerry Brownlee but every time he annoys me I'll light a candle for the probability that that awful Winston is toast - I worked in a bar a long time ago and got to spit in his drink...
Please don't screw up ACC - it's not perfect but it's a damn good idea.
Can I join the millions of others in saying that the US election has put us in the shade so much that we all look like we are playing, as Umaga put it, Tiddlywinks?
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Just watched final election interview on Alt TV. Oliver Driver did a great job interviewing Helen Clark. Better questions, more informative, more open than the other staged managed ones. I hope they will both be around for more long interviews next interviews.
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Just watched final election interview on Alt TV. Oliver Driver did a great job interviewing Helen Clark. Better questions, more informative, more open than the other staged managed ones. I hope they will both be around for more long interviews next election.
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Hilary: Oliver is a great interviewer isn't he? Just watched him with Winston and it was very well done too except the Part 1 wouldn't run.
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Not sure Craig but while you're there check that prostate.
;-)Steve: As I don't intend to call people who don't vote the way I like "stupid", there's no foreign objects up my arse. Seriously, if the Government does change tomorrow I really hope there's going to be a little more grace on display than there was in the audience for McCain's concession.
Danielle, sweetie, get out there, do the right thing, and help to push NZ First over 5% -- and maybe you won't be fucked after all.
Veronica: As I said on another thread, anyone who is thinking of casting a "strategic vote" for Winston First deserves everything they get. If only the rest of us weren't required to live with it as well. What do you think is the right price for a fourth term -- a pinch of the racist immigration policy, the sight of Ron Mark creaming his pants as more civil liberties and due process get shat on and flushed down the crapper, the privatization of Kiwibank? What?
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Craig regarding your extended middle finger and reaction to "Kat's" hyperbolic discourse about a stupid country deserving a right-wing government: don't be too precious, there must be a hundred comments a day to this effect directed against Labour between KB and Your Views.
So fucking what, red? Two wrongs don't make a right, and two morons don't even make a decent half-wit.
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I prefer to protest politely. But its interesting that National's crowd wouldn't even tolerate that.
And finally, I guess our definitions of "politely" are different, but I don't go to meeting and try to drown people out with loud hailers. And if I did, I wouldn't expect a particularly friendly reception from anyone I tried it on either.
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