Bugger it, we get Sri Lanka.
Batting first we'll need 280+.
Batting second and we'll be chasing 280+.
I know it's cricket cliches 101 but we will have to get the same kind of tight bowling effort, applying pressure throughout, some brilliant fielding to save 20-30 runs and a better batting effort than we saw the other night. This Sri Lankan batting lineup on a pitch they grew up on are not going to have a mental breakdown and be bowled out like the squareheads were.
Yeah, it'll be semifinal exit number 6 for NZ, I reckon.
I'd give us a 30/70 chance if we bat first.
20/80 if we bat second.
My impression is that Sri Lanka isnt' a good team for us to play either. Our batsmen haven't figured out Malinga or Muralitharan. And their batsmen seem to have hit pretty good form: 231/0. I give us about 25% either way the toss goes. Though both McCullum and Guptill feel due, if we get off to a good start...