Posts by Michael Homer
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How is a local exporter that doesn't have a differently-polluting competitor affected by this? It seems that provided that 1) all outputs are exported, and 2) there is no competing exporter in the same category with a lower CO2-equivalent to unbalance the rebate, there is no net impact on the exporter. Is that correct?
If this good substitutes (overseas) for a lower-emission net-payer in a different category, does that have the same impact of incentivising an increase in total emissions?
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It's also available from http://www.etv.org.nz/programme.php?id=47219 to anybody affiliated with any other New Zealand university, and a pretty long list of polytechs and high schools too.
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Hard News: Art with a job to do, in reply to Hilary Stace,
Mostly I only number one or two candidates - those I really want to win - and leave the rest unnumbered.
This is silly unless all of those other candidates are genuinely indistinguishable to you.
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If, through talking to them, you increase their knowledge of politics from 0 to 0.5 (nothing to half informed) you increase their chance of voting from 67% to 89%
This doesn't really seem to follow, does it? Someone who's fundamentally uninterested isn't going either to know much or to vote, and causing them to know more won't (necessarily) increase their interest so much as increase their desire to avoid you. You'd need longitudinal data to start drawing that kind of conclusion, and even then it's a bit iffy.
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Legal Beagle: Cameron Slater: computer hacker?, in reply to mpledger,
nor does it look like the files would have been able to be seen by a typical member of the population using the ordinary tools available to browse the web.
You could have ended up there just by using a (quite) old web browser and trying to visit Labour's main website. It's just borderline-criminal incompetence on the part of the people running the sites (and if only the Privacy Act had any teeth...).
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Legal Beagle: Cameron Slater: computer hacker?, in reply to nick_w,
So if the site could not be found via Google but could by a service like MyIPNeighbours, does this allow us to draw inferences about whether or not said access is authorised?
No. I don't even see what distinction you could draw between them.
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Legal Beagle: Cameron Slater: computer hacker?, in reply to nick_w,
it makes you wonder why he didn’t just use Google to find the website if it was all there
Google doesn't provide a reverse IP lookup, although they presumably have the data to do so.
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Legal Beagle: Cameron Slater: computer hacker?, in reply to nick_w,
In it, the healthyhomeshealthykiwis.org.nz domain was found via a tool that identifies other domains on the same IP address. It’s hard to be sure, but this suggests that the domain in question was, at that time, not yet indexed by any search engines and therefore was not intended to be publicly available.
It's not a magic tool, you know. The domain demonstrably was indexed or it wouldn't have been in the result list.
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Speaker: House prices and the "Magic Money", in reply to Steve Barnes,
The "total house value" metric is an estimate based on sales prices and total number of houses. If it doesn't sell it never gets measured, but if it sells multiple times they all drag the average sale price towards themselves.
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The main issue with the analysis is that it's overconfident. I don't think it's necessarily false in its general thrust, but you just can't actually know the magnitude involved from it because of all these confounds people have identified.