Posts by Matthew Hooton
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Polity: Four cents on Brexit, Fonterra,…, in reply to Rob Salmond,
I thought your point was that the quota could be cut. I assumed this when I read: "I think there’s a real chance that Fonterra, and potentially other major agricultural exporters, will find themselves losing some of their EU access well before they gain any countervailing access to the UK."
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Polity: Four cents on Brexit, Fonterra,…, in reply to Rich of Observationz,
We have a free trade agreement with neither UK nor EU. The trade relationship is governed under WTO agreements .
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Speaker: A Disorderly Brexit, in reply to Rich Lock,
I have no idea what you mean by that.
1. The polls haven't been as massively out as people seem to think.
2. To the extent they have been out, they have overestimated Labour and Remain and underestimated Conservatives and Leave. -
Polity: Four cents on Brexit, Fonterra,…, in reply to andin,
Yes, so read the link which explains the relevant WTO rules.
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Don't know who your very smart trade professional was, but intuitively it doesn't seem right. Charles Finny has a very different view: https://www.facebook.com/charles.finny.71/posts/1225138547518614
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Speaker: A Disorderly Brexit, in reply to John Palethorpe,
Just using shorthand.
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Speaker: A Disorderly Brexit, in reply to John Palethorpe,
Also, relying on UK polls after the last few complete messups is – unwise?
They haven't really been complete mess-ups but to the extent they have been mess-ups it has been that they overestimate Guardian opinions and underestimate Daily Mail and Telegraph ones.
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Speaker: A Disorderly Brexit, in reply to Russell Brown,
You have six posts under one story from a newspaper with a readership of 1.5 million and think this is evidence of buyer's remorse? I'll go with the poll reported with The Mirror: http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/brexit-opinion-poll-reveals-majority-8283139
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Speaker: A Disorderly Brexit, in reply to BenWilson,
She is staring down the barrel of the end of her kingdom, and surely has something to say about it.
When she became Queen in 1952 she was monarch of many more countries than she is now. From memory, her attitude on Scottish independence and Australian republicanism in 1999 is the same as she had through decolonialisation at the beginning of her reign: that she is happy to serve as Queen in realms that want her to do so, but is perfectly respectful of those who do not. She could also become or remain Queen of Scotland like she is Queen of New Zealand and Australia. I don't think intervention is very likely.
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Speaker: A Disorderly Brexit, in reply to Russell Brown,
"Suggestions" is taken from the EU Commission's own website!