Posts by ChrisW
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Hard News: Christchurch: Square Two, in reply to Ross Mason,
The "active faulting likely" areas look likely candidates for the latest batch maybe??? (Seismo comment anyone???)
One could hazard a guess that these things are creeping east.....could they head towards and possibly link up to the Kaikoura trenchy thing out there??? Again, any Seismo comment??)I don't think that map's "active faulting likely" was a prediction about the next year or few; but a tentative identification of 'active faults' in the sub-seafloor rocks and sediment, where 'active' means some sign of differential movement in the recent past on a geological scale say the last 20,000 years or maybe up to 100,000 years. Very different timeframes! Only tentative identification, either because of the poor data from shallow water close to shore where seaborne geophysical investigation gets problematic, or just because (as Dr Barnes is at pains to emphasise) the faults in Pegasus Bay have very low rates of movement by NZ standards, on that tens-of-thousands of years timeframe.
It looks to me that this week's magnitude 6.3 and the subsequent aftershocks are conforming to the pattern of the post-Feb aftershocks, being mainly on or about the same south-dipping fault under the Port Hills, and with a cluster of them aligned at what may be the eastern termination of that dipping fault zone, a little offshore. And this clustering/termination seems more distinctly so in this week's aftershocks, as befitting the more easterly 'parent'-quake. Not likely to be an indication of new faulting propagating further offshore or linking up with the Pegasus Canyon - that would be a surprise relative to the overall low rate of fault movement - but there have been plenty of surprises already.
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Elizabeths 2 in honour of Elizabeth II,
A nominal
B'day rather than D-day?C between, the Question?
Oblique link
Perversely to 9-line mass, not
E-matching triplets.So many goodly states and kingdoms seen
in Denmark/Copenhagen in the cycling thread,
I was tempted yesterday to post a poem as if commenting thereon,
but it doesn't really, and belongs better here, couched beside the sea.
From that lesser known Michael Jackson, expatriate NZer –
rather too much of the South Island myth, and I feel comfortable in the wilderness, but still, I like it much –Living Abroad
We exiles miss its landscapes most.
1° in Copenhagen and I count the cost
of having no hills to walk on
or an ironsand beach, that mystery
of the physical – four elements
rather than ruins or runic stones –
but would not want its emptiness again,
that unflagging sense that one is not oneself
with wilderness, and needs the depths
of history to fathom where one stands
and still may go. -
My initial three-phase reaction reading this -
i) Oh, No!!
ii) Que sera, sera; whatever CERA wills, will be.
iii) Surely it's one of several options being evaluated, hence a likely basis for rumours of a decision already made, but more likely to be put forward along with some of those others for a ?brief period of vigorous consultation. If not to sink without trace prior, after intensive evaluation along the lines of yours. -
Hard News: People Take Drugs, in reply to Kumara Republic,
Toby Manhire offers hope in his latest Listener column.
With handy link to HardTalk interview on YouTube. Nice quote -
Sackur: Yeah but he[Mike Joy]’s a scientist, it’s based on research, it’s not an opinion he’s plucked from the air.
Whereas John Key does pluck from the air his assertion of NZ's strong population growth notwithstanding flight of bright young people overseas - at 8.30-9.10 of part 1 he says - "... about 1990 New Zealand's population was 3 million, today it's 4.5 million". Really? No, 4.4 million and not due to reach 4.5 million for another 4 or 5 years at the current rate. And NZ's population reached 3 million in 1973 (old Yearbook tables).
So his guess of 21 years for the increase from 3 to 4.5 M - should add about 100%. For a banker, he surely has numeracy problems, that 100% business especially tricksy.
Yeah mumble, should be on the Lines for Labour thread ...
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Hard News: People Take Drugs, in reply to Rex Widerstrom,
to introduce “drug courts”.
Their position in the criminal justice system means they gain widespread acceptance in a way that public health programs (as substitiutes for “puniutive” responses) wouldn’t, but when you look behind what they do they are public health programs,Lovely typo, the Puniu River being the Confiscation Line following the Waikato War, the aukati forming the northern boundary of the the rohe potae of King Tawhiao, the King Country. Which provided a base for Tainui-Maniapoto to negotiate a transitional accommodation with the sphere of the Crown.
So puniu-tive - at first sight a hardline approach, but laying a base for a negotiated transitional accommodation between incompatible jurisdictions or paradigms, perhaps politically achievable?
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180 Seconds with Craig Ranapia – 8th May, in reply to Public Address Radio,
Changed! I blame Craig Ranapia.
Hey, that's... totally true. Bastards.
Sorry to be a bastard, but don't see any change to text.
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Beneficiary's mite contributed, in belated appreciation.
Those improvements and tweaks to the site revamp you're looking towards on the strength of payment towards your Cactus Lab bill - would that include reverting to plain display of the NZ time stamp on the discussion posts? I recall this was raised by several posters in the original thread. An everchanging "3 hours ago", "3 days ago" etc is so much less informative especially after the first hour, inconvenient for reference, and makes it harder to follow the discussion dynamics especially if reading a thread a little or a long time after real-time.
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Er, my, a couple of typos, suggest correcting that southern lad's name for the record, Erima Harvey Northcroft.
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Hard News: And we may never meet again ..., in reply to andin,
Holy crap
In the off-Key case, I reckon that would be 'unholy crap'
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Hard News: And we may never meet again ..., in reply to andin,
Manning on Key on Jon Stephenson - try this.