Posts by Farmer Green
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Hard News: Fact and fantasy, in reply to mccx,
I don’t see how NZ opting out of Kyoto2 gets either NZ or the rest of the world closer to either equitable or effective solutions though.
Do you see no prospect of a better arrangement? Perhaps NZ would be better to identify what is most important to us , and attempt to bring it about. It may be that climate is the least of our concerns as a nation.
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To Farmer Green's way of thinking adaptation means doing things differently. Constant change is what gets him out of bed in the mornings.
One likely consequence of ignoring change which is already occurring is getting a nasty wake-up call .
In the absence of validated GCMs yielding outputs to the contrary , FG regards increasing atmospheric CO2 and global average temperature rising at about 1 deg. C./century as benign. But neither can continue forever . Climate cycles seem to be inevitable.
I do understand your concerns, I think , but I think also that one should not fear the future. FG sees only a future pregnant with possibility for change for the better; deeper , more carbonaceous topsoil; better water retention; reduced nutrient losses ; better animal welfare; enhanced social capital in rural communities; improved profitability of added-value production.
In spite of having been told he was dreaming , that his failure was assured, that his plans were impossible, he went ahead and did it all. Should he not have tried? Should he have listened to the doom and gloom merchants?
Well, he should definitely have listened to their point of view , but if he doubted their wisdom, then surely he should have proceeded.
Rational optimism about the future is not a bad way to live.
Irrational fear about the future is debilitating.FG is aware of papers in preparation which challenge the physics assumptions which underly the current GCMs. The ensuing revisions may paint a very different picture.
It is still early days. -
Hard News: Fact and fantasy, in reply to Steve Barnes,
Absolutely!
"How can you possibly have an international agreement that's effective unless countries like China and India are not full participants?"
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Hard News: Fact and fantasy, in reply to Sacha,
Fencing
As in . . . ?
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Hard News: Fact and fantasy, in reply to Jimmy Southgate,
A good fresh through the river sees it swimmable all the way to P.N.. It has been pretty good since wet summers became the norm around 1999.
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Hard News: Fact and fantasy, in reply to Rich of Observationz,
Farmers have their petrol excise tax refunded on the grounds that the tax is primarily a way of collecting road user charges. Tractors also have limited recreational use, compared to say Formula One cars.
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Hard News: Fact and fantasy, in reply to BenWilson,
That suggests that increasing the parking tax even further could work, even though it is only indirectly a tax on pollution.
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Hard News: Fact and fantasy, in reply to Sacha,
I'm not sure what you are saying there; can you expand that a little bit?
For sure you can lead the horse to the water . . . -
Hard News: Fact and fantasy, in reply to mccx,
Getting to understand differing views is always good .
The LWF not only managed to arrive at a consensus; they also had to overcome the urban/rural divide. And they managed , right at the outset, to desist from calling each other names. It wasn't easy but it was very worthwhile even if Government mucks it up from here. -
Hard News: Fact and fantasy, in reply to mccx,
Let us then see if either or both or neither of those two objectives appears achievable at the end of the current Doha talks.