Posts by David Hood

  • Speaker: Confessions of an Uber driver,

    Oh, so Uber's self driving car project seemed to be built on plans stolen from Google. That's going to end well.

    https://medium.com/waymo/a-note-on-our-lawsuit-against-otto-and-uber-86f4f98902a1#.cet824g44

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1429 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Friday Music: The mixtape and…,

    Sort of related, I have been spending this evening playing with this playlist generator toy

    http://static.echonest.com/BoilTheFrog/index.html?src=miley%20cyrus&dest=miles%20davis

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1429 posts Report Reply

  • Legal Beagle: New Zealand rockets up the…,

    Incidentally, about 8% (depending on how you round it) of the movement in countries from 2015 to 2016 was caused by the inclusion of a new source.

    Some R code:
    https://github.com/thoughtfulbloke/transparency/blob/master/transparency.R

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1429 posts Report Reply

  • Legal Beagle: New Zealand rockets up the…, in reply to Lynn Yum,

    I’m not sure if it is more biased towards business POV.

    for generating the relative placing of countries between sources, they are imputing against the sources with more that 50% country coverage. So the most important sources, in order, are:

    Global Insight Country Risk Ratings (covers all countries) 176 coverage
    World Economic Forum EOS 141 coverage
    PRS International Country Risk Guide 140 c0verage
    Economist Intelligence Unit Country Ratings 129 coverage
    Bertelsmann Foundation Transformation Index 129 coverage
    World Justice Project Rule of Law Index 110 coverage

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1429 posts Report Reply

  • Legal Beagle: New Zealand rockets up the…,

    Without actually going and looking at any of the data (so putting in considerably less work than Graeme) I would focus on

    Although I suspect it gives lie to Transparency International’s outline of the results as shocking because so many countries score below 50

    It does not give lie- It is going to depend on how skewed the data is (where the commonest range is and if there are extreme values), but this seems to be further complicated by the difference with 2012 as well so what I am about to say is a bit of a simplification. If you have a few extremely (score near 1) countries and the vast bulk of countries with low levels (rating in the 50s) you could have a mean of 45 and few countries with high corruption. Similarly you can have a lot of countries with badish scores (30s) and a few extreme well behaved countries and also have a mean of 45.

    Rather than that, the reason it is not shocking is that it is basically the same as the past few years. For the percentage of countries that scored below 50: 2016 = 69%, 2015 = 68%, 2014 = 70%, 2013=70%

    (OK I went and looked at the data for the last part)

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1429 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: The next four years,

    The language around the day does seem to be very Trumpian though.

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1429 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: The next four years,

    I see Donald Trump has presidentially decreed Jan 20th, the date of his inauguration as "National Patriotic Devotion day"

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1429 posts Report Reply

  • Polity: TPP, eh?,

    lets be clear, Trump scrapped it and announced that the US will do individual deals that are worse for small countries.

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1429 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: The next four years,

    In 1967 the modern formulation of the Trolley problem (ethical thought experiment) was made. Now, fifty years later, the Trolley problem is pretty thoroughly talked out, and instead we have the "when is it ethical to punch a Nazi" problem.

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1429 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: The next four years, in reply to Rich of Observationz,

    USA has never been invaded

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_of_1812

    or indeed

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1429 posts Report Reply

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