Posts by David Hood
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Karl Rove was in shock
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At the moment, the question seems to be "Will Obama win by enough that a final result is not dependent on a recount in Florida"
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Hard News: The Big 2012 US Election PAS Thread, in reply to Rich of Observationz,
Apart from ’08, ’96, ’76,’64 and ’28-48
I did say Republican President, there are no Republican Bush/Nixon Presidents in those years as Democrats won. If I reword my claim for clarity- Romney is seeking to break the pattern that no Republican since 1928 has become president without a Nixon or Bush on the ticket.
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Hard News: The Big 2012 US Election PAS Thread, in reply to Jimmy Southgate,
Im finding this one is making more sense than the HuffPo one. Much clearer about % of vote counted & how much it matters.
I agree. I find that table display much easier to interpret than the map based ones I've seen.
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Trivia-wise, Romney is seeking to become the first Republican president since 1928 without a Nixon or Bush on the ticket (or so the Internet says). Which gives me an excuse to post this slide I just scanned in from an impeach Nixon march in 1973.
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Hard News: The Big 2012 US Election PAS Thread, in reply to Tim Michie,
Especially with the reports of late patching
As I understand it, the late patching was not on the machines taking the vote. It was on the second stage machines that add up the votes from within an area.
The Ohio district court has declined to issue an injunction against the software being installed. -
Hard News: The Watching World, in reply to Graeme Edgeler,
I’ll put $100 on Obama not getting 315.3 Electoral College Votes :-)
I too suspect that the current showing Electoral College esitimate 313 is infinitely more likely (literally) than the 315.3 of yesterday.
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Hard News: The Big 2012 US Election PAS Thread, in reply to Lucy Stewart,
The nice lady at our local polling place was quite happy to let me take a picture of the machine they use to scan the ballots
Like everything in the US, it varies widely with state, but asking is always the best plan.
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Hard News: The Big 2012 US Election PAS Thread, in reply to Miche Campbell,
I expect Z to do well in the next few years as Zabeel’s offspring
That's punditry opinion, at complete odds with the aggregated historical data.
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Hard News: The Big 2012 US Election PAS Thread, in reply to BenWilson,
Aw…there could be real money to be made here.
That’s all that separates me from Nate Silver. (My not) Going the extra mile on my model.
