Posts by David Hood

  • Speaker: What we think and how we vote,

    I did a better way of looking at it: rather than absolute amounts this is how often voter groups are (+) or are not(-) using terms relative to other voter groups use of those terms. The more terms beside each party, the more that part had unusual terms frequencies (I took the most unusual 100 and aggregated them by party). For each party the terms are in decreasing order of unusualness

    Conservative:-poverty, +economy, -health, +government, +land, -child, -jobs, +justice, +moral, +leaders, +law, +management, +don't_know, +financial, +cost, +issues, -economic

    Green:+poverty, +environment, -economy, +rich, +between, +inequality, +child, +poor, +gap, -selling, +climate, +change, -employment, -health

    Internet_Mana_Party:-economy, +schools, +feeding, +wages, +children, +poverty, +sales, +marijuana, +support, +tppa, +assets, +low, -education, +issue, +important, +income, +child, -health, -land, -dirty_politics, +housing

    Labour:-economy, +poverty, +between, +rich, +health, +poor, +gap, +inequality, +wage, +assets

    Māori_Party:+health, +education, +economy, +employment, +selling, +whanau, +economic, +settlements, +economics, -issues, +growing, +leadership, +cost, +poverty, -rich, +lack, -government, +families

    National:+economy, -poverty, +stability, +economic, -employment, -selling, +stable, +keeping, -poor, -assets

    Did_Not_Vote:-economy, -poverty, +follow

    NZ_First:+selling, -poverty, +people, +immigration, -economy, +overseas, +land

    Focusing on things common to all groups, there is a pretty clear division, that comes out of the data between:
    (poverty discussed, economy not discussed) parties, and (economy discussed, poverty not discussed) parties

    With the two parties that thought of themselves in the middle (NZ First) and the Māori Party forming their own opposing

    (poverty discussed, economy discussed) Maori party and
    (economy not discussed, poverty not discussed) NZ First and Did Not Vote

    Many of the parties can then be seen to have their specialist themes by their supporters, as well as common ground.

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1341 posts Report Reply

  • Capture: Art On The Street,

    Attachment

    top of Baldwin Street, Dunedin

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1341 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: What we think and how we vote,

    I should really link up Dirty Politics and Don't Know to be single terms- don't was on my list of excluded terms, hence Conservatives were in the know, rather than don't know

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1341 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: What we think and how we vote,

    I haven't done any stemming (removing suffixes to bring terms together), but here are the commonest 10 terms written by NZES in the most serious issue free text question (removing common stop words like a, the, not, etc) for words that come up at least three times, assuming there are 10 terms that crop up at least 10 times. As I did nothing about sorting out ties, the tail end of each list may be a bit arbitrary as they could be tied with things that made the number more than 10.

    Conservative: economy, government, know, housing, issues, land, no, cost, education, employment

    Green: poverty, environment, child, education, rich, between, poor, inequality, gap, economy

    Internet_Mana_Party: poverty, housing, child, no, children, feeding, schools

    Labour: poverty, housing, health, nz, education, between, rich, child, assets, gap

    Māori_Party: economy, health, poverty, employment, selling, education, economic, nz, our, education

    National: economy, economic, stability, nz, housing, poverty, stable, dirty, education, politics

    NZ_First: selling, economy, nz, housing, people, land, employment, overseas, tax, poverty

    Didn’t Vote: poverty, economy, nz, dirty, politics, housing, health, jobs, know, child

    ACT and United Future had insufficient representation to have any words occur 3 times or more.

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1341 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: What we think and how we vote,

    There are both a series of questions rating the importance of a standard issues from the last election, and a free text "what is the most important issue to you" kind of question where people could write whatever they feel (which has also been coded into general and specific subject categories).

    Because I'm curious, this evening I'll take the free text and figure out the commonest words written by party voted for.

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1341 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: What we think and how we vote, in reply to BenWilson,

    Ben, you might get a sense I have my doubts that the Left-Right umbrella terms have any more use than "I am voting National so I must be on the right but I feel like they are a bit more extreme than me" rather than as a determinant. It is just, as you said there are a lot of questions that place things in that context.

    Similar survey, with some potential of linking results over time (he said nodding towards the future) a mix of general political questions, demographics, and questions about issues around election time.

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1341 posts Report Reply

  • Capture: Garden of Arcane Delights,

    Attachment Attachment Attachment

    El Nino plus Global Warning = Daffodils in July in Dunedin

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1341 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: What we think and how we vote, in reply to Tom Semmens,

    So National party voters are more likely

    Well, not really. There are a pretty big pool of National voters who, from these questions could be ideological or issues voters- we just don't know.

    We do know there are a bunch of National voters who see themselves as a bit rightwing and National as more rightwing than they are. And Labour voters see themselves as closer to the centre than National voters.

    You could argue the voters see the National Party (being more extreme) as more likely to engage in tirades than the Labour Party

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1341 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: DNC 2016: Beyond weird, most…,

    Donald Trump has to outsource hacking his political enemies to Russia because he is not yet in charge of the country. Bring those jobs back to America by electing Donald president.

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1341 posts Report Reply

  • Capture: Garden of Arcane Delights,

    Attachment

    From today

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1341 posts Report Reply

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