that was a typo on my part, it should have been under 15 (so 0-14) (table 4.02)
My point wasn't that it was rising, it was that the visual category is rising faster than the population is aging. If you take the age bands (0-14,15-44, 45-64, 65+) and compare the 2001 to 2013 results in raw numbers for visual, and work out the size of the total population change in the general census, you get
0-14, general pop. increase +2%, visual decrease -55% (changes in giving oxygen to premature births)
15-44, general pop. increase +4%, visual increase +124%
45-64, general pop. increase +32%, visual increase +166%
65+, general pop. increase +31%, visual increase +58%
I note the internal proportions sight has grown- and that is due to the raw numbers for all but under 5 increasing quite dramatically compared to the population increase in the period.
My opinion is that it is an outlier poll, we will know in another 2 weeks- I thought it looked to much like the random sample happened to hit a lot of National voters and few Green voters- I just didn’t see the Greens doing anything in those two weeks that would have caused them to lose one third of their support base.
And I stand by my opinion of two weeks ago, though I am sure the latest Roy Morgan will provoke nowhere near the discussion the previous one did.
That's what happens when Mecuy is in etogade
Suddenly, Public Address gets swamped by people clicking the refresh button on this thread while awaiting developments :)
I often find myself waking up at 3 in the morning speaking in Chinese and Arabic
I don't think that is quite what the Brethren had in mind about speaking in tongues.
My opinion is that it is an outlier poll, we will know in another 2 weeks- I thought it looked to much like the random sample happened to hit a lot of National voters and few Green voters- I just didn't see the Greens doing anything in those two weeks that would have caused them to lose one third of their support base.
I think I should note that the Green's policy bears a very strong resemblance to that introduced by the right-wing state government of British Columbia (only the Green Party rate is not as high) which had been working very, very well for them
Dinah, the Methodist archives were centralised in Christchurch, and had been closed since the earthquake (reopening last year). As one, if very time consuming, avenue, and were prepared to make the assumption that it was conducted through the church (and the additional assumption it is more likely to be all Methodists involved) you could look for evidence there. As a round about search for secretive ones (where there is much less likelihood of a paper trail being held at the church) you might find something looking at Methodist baptisms to children of unwed mothers in the period of your ancestors birth in the Dunedin area, and children who disappear would seem likely candidates for further investigation.
But that approach would be time consuming, and may involve some expense (I don't know what the archives policies are).
Geoff I was once contacted by someone who said "I've been looking through your electoral rolls and my great grandfather and my great grandmother seem to be living in different parts of town". All I could agree was yes, yes they were.