if you're looking for an example of social investment thinking, there is this app published off the back of some predictive risk modelling treasury did.
the general model is that the aggregate average projected costs can be offset by sensible spending, as you say. or at least that's the way it was explained to me when we developed the prototype for the treasury tool.
so if you have a couple of million in projected costs and you can make an argument to spend $200k to prevent those costs, you've got a better chance at securing your funding. a better chance than a policy analyst with their finger in the air, for example.
They were young, as most are, and mostly you just have to point out how they're wrong and they can actually see it, apologise, and get on with not being a libertarian.
my experience is that many are heavily self-aggrandising. they work in a service station while studying, and finding that they're around or above average intelligence they become convinced they're metahumans...
we can only hope they eventually become humans again.
As for myself, even though I'm in paid work, I've basically found the ladder of opportunity missing all of its rungs.
i've often pondered why i made it out.
i keep landing on "white male".
We should be able to imagine what it might be like to face this kind of hardship, and then respond with empathy. Because that's what decent people do.
thing is, I often see statements where people claim that negative attitudes to poverty are a new thing, or perhaps "a product of the current government".
but I can claim my own experience to argue that there is nothing new about deriding or denigrating the poor. nor it is a product of the political Right. the worst offender in my past was a Union apparatchik, and a leader in a local Church!
so yes, empathy. but even those who have experienced poverty can express a total lack of empathy, because we live in a society that happily accords blame without consideration of cause.
2c. will fly it anyhow. the lockwood designs will be voted down and be consigned to the rubbish bin where they belong.
the current anthem took over slowly from god save the queen, and the te reo version is gradually becoming predominant. so let's just keep flying it.
totally agree. the four options provided were, without doubt, unmitigated cack.
i also enjoyed the contrast between the Green and Labour approach, where one used it as an opportunity to try get one over on Key, and the other just ensured that the people got more choice...
But it occurred to me that this is where there is supposed to be a relationship and the numbers stopped adding up.
yeah, hence my suggestion that *part* of the equation might be on-shore investors.
otherwise, yeah, totes off-shore money from somewhere.
really like this post. i'm no big-city economist, but it seems pretty logical.
regarding where the money could be coming from: did you consider the two big changes in the mid-2000s, the Cullen Fund and Kiwisaver? Could property investment be being made from fund managers?
that's because floor towels is what they are.
no photo, but the rata are also flowering prolifically. we were in the waiohine valley on boxing day, and the treetops in the distance were faintly red, bobbing along in the wind.