Posts by Peter Green

  • Hard News: Interview: Glenn Greenwald, in reply to Russell Brown,

    Sir Bruce Ferguson was fairly clear on Radio NZ that something is only legally "interception" if it's targeted. Therefore "indiscriminate interception" is technically an oxymoron in GCSB doublespeak.

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2011 • 18 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: Confidential information: the…, in reply to Graeme Edgeler,

    The question then is: does Cameron Slater have authority to access the server that hosts the Labour Party website?

    A computer system 248(b) "includes any part of the items described in paragraph (a) and all related input, output, processing, storage, software, or communication facilities, and stored data."

    So authorised to access the webserver shouldn't be enough.

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2011 • 18 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: The Letter, in reply to Russell Brown,

    But we seem to have a situation where the government gets the information immediately and can make use of it while a journalist is made to wait nearly a month before being refused.

    The Gov't get it under no surprises, but the Opposition doesn't. And then the Gov't get to spin this as them being more competent.

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2011 • 18 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Meanwhile back at the polls,

    And, significantly, the swing is reflected in the regular Government Confidence Rating

    I need to edgeler this bit. If your outlier poll has sampled too many National voters, then you'll get increases in party vote, preferred PM, and govt confidence. When they all move together, that's what we expect — it's not evidence that the swings are real.

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2011 • 18 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Gower Speaks, in reply to steve black,

    For example, are they consistent for a given research house over some years?

    No, not consistent over a long time period (multiple election cycles). The polling firms are always trying to improve their methods, so we wouldn't expect them to be.

    They look reasonable consistent over shorter periods (an election cycle), although I haven't formally tested this.

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2011 • 18 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Gower Speaks, in reply to David Hood,

    It's a really nice font, thanks.

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2011 • 18 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Gower Speaks, in reply to David Hood,

    Slightly off-topic: how'd you get that cool handwriting effect for the "Colmar Results" text?

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2011 • 18 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Gower Speaks, in reply to David Hood,

    Does that need a library(gtools) at the top?

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2011 • 18 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Polls: news you can own, in reply to BenWilson,

    My understanding is that they would prefer to reduce the error by improving their sampling techniques rather than using an adhoc fudge factor like we do.

    It's entirely possible that they're measuring accurately, and that people are consistently having a last-minute change of heart on election day. An arbitrary adjustment would mask that sort of effect.

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2011 • 18 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Polls: news you can own,

    Commissioned polls are news you can can own. They are exclusive at the time of publication and if they’re sufficiently interesting they may then be picked up and quoted by other media organisations. The natural approach to maximising the value of your investment in a poll is to make a compelling story of it – to make it look at much like news as possible.

    You could make the same argument about a news item that's complete fiction. That wouldn't justify misleading your viewers.

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2011 • 18 posts Report Reply

Last ←Newer Page 1 2 Older→ First