Hard News by Russell Brown

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Hard News: Campaign 2017: Buy a journalist a drink today

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  • johnno, in reply to Russell Brown,

    I think there has been a subconscious desire among pundits and Gallery journos who want there to be a "LABOUR TAX CRISIS". They want a crisis because Labour's rise since changing leaders has completely flummoxed them. It goes against all their perceived wisdom, all those phrases that they drag out in a leadership spill - "It's a sign of panic," "the electorate wont trust them", "its too late in the parliamentary cycle". Some of those Gallery people went to the first Ardern press conference determined to write Labour's obituary.

    Six weeks later, and still high in most polls despite their predictions, they clutched at the Newshub poll on Tuesday like a drowning man grabbing a lifejacket. Finally, the polls were agreeing with their instincts, and we have suffered an endless collection of opinion pieces saying the honeymoon is over, Ardern is going negative, voters are scared of tax rises. The brilliance of their analysis is finally getting through to the electorate, and they can regain their position as Masters of Political Universe.

    Because the alternative is that a huge number of people are indifferent at best to their reporting, opinions and analysis. Some of those people I suspect have simply seen a new leader who seems honest and open, who seems like the person they want to like, rather than a politician.

    And all this narrative over the last two days around tax has been driven by the Newshub poll. As far as I've seen, no-one has really questioned the numbers. Newshub has done a marvellous job of placing their shock poll as the game-changing for the election, when perhaps it should be seriously pulling back from a poll that goes against Colmar-Brunton, and the internal polls of National and Labour.

    Prediction for tonight - the poll says Labour and the Greens can govern alone. Will the Gallery pull back from their "tax is damaging Labour" narrative?

    wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 111 posts Report Reply

  • Neil, in reply to mark taslov,

    Sadly this is getting traction.

    Can’t wait for the speculation about who the spy was in the Clark govt that manipulated them into the China FTA.

    It's all a bit too reminiscent of demanding Muslim immigrants condemn terrorism.

    Since Nov 2016 • 210 posts Report Reply

  • mark taslov, in reply to Neil,

    It’s really pretty sick when you think back on what Yang Jian and his family would have been through, KMT family members (Yang’s grandfather was a KMT General) were pariah still in the 80s to the extent that they’d be pointed at and whispered about in the neighbourhood.

    The expectation that Chinese people as a culture might in any way be predisposed to dredging up humanitarian disasters they’ve lived through or criticising the CCP or is so culturally and historically tone-deaf that I’d wager we’ve gone full hillbilly.

    oh and Reddell’s:

    but never mentions the dreadful evil of the Great Famine,

    From the maiden speech:

    By the year of my birth in 1962, China had wiped out private ownership in an effort to build a socialist economy. A horrific famine had just passed with the death of millions of people.

    What a fucking hatchet job by Pākehā of privilege, as he goes on to say:

    In those years, everyone was equal but everyone was poor. The most spectacular present that I received for my 10th birthday was two eggs for breakfast.

    Te Ika-a-Māui • Since Mar 2008 • 2186 posts Report Reply

  • Katharine Moody, in reply to johnno,

    Prediction for tonight – the poll says Labour and the Greens can govern alone. Will the Gallery pull back from their “tax is damaging Labour” narrative?

    Spot on.

    Wellington • Since Sep 2014 • 787 posts Report Reply

  • Trevor Nicholls,

    All this fuss about commitments and changed commitments. In an MMP world, it simply isn't possible for one party to make guarantees like that unless they are also going to guarantee not to enter into any coalition.

    Wellington, NZ • Since Nov 2006 • 299 posts Report Reply

  • Ian Dalziel,

    I'd like to buy a beer for the RNZ newsreader at 5pm tonight who was just talking about the increase in advance voting this election and then went on to say 'more people than usual were taking the drug...' (or words to that effect )
    - I had heard this voting is addictive, nice to have it confirmed.

    Christchurch • Since Dec 2006 • 7704 posts Report Reply

  • Joe Wylie, in reply to Ian Dalziel,

    'more people than usual were taking the drug...'

    That tear-off ticket at the lower right corner of the Electoral Commission letter does look a bit like an oversized chunk of blotter acid.

    flat earth • Since Jan 2007 • 4585 posts Report Reply

  • John Farrell, in reply to Joe Wylie,

    Gee...and I gave it to the poll clerk without sucking on it.

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2006 • 468 posts Report Reply

  • steven crawford, in reply to Ian Dalziel,

    - I had heard this voting is addictive...

    I'm only going to have one vote, maybe two.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 4015 posts Report Reply

  • Katharine Moody,

    Wellington • Since Sep 2014 • 787 posts Report Reply

  • Neil, in reply to Katharine Moody,

    If once having been a member of a communist party is enough to be excluded from parliament then Keith Locke would have been.

    Quite incredible that this is actually being seriously advocated.

    Since Nov 2016 • 210 posts Report Reply

  • Trevor Nicholls, in reply to Neil,

    Quite incredible that this is actually being seriously advocated.

    You obviously haven't seen some of the Jacinda attack ads being posted on social media then

    Wellington, NZ • Since Nov 2006 • 299 posts Report Reply

  • Ian Dalziel,

    I find it odd that both NZ First and Labour's letterbox 'party flyers' don't have their websites listed on them - the one for our local MP (Poto Williams - Labour) does - I threw the National one away so I can't check that.

    I guess it isn't hard to work out what their websites would be, but I'd have thought that they wouldn't put any impediment to people following things up...

    Christchurch • Since Dec 2006 • 7704 posts Report Reply

  • steven crawford, in reply to Ian Dalziel,

    Good morning Ian,

    I threw the National one away so I can’t check that.

    I only received one letter, and it’s from the National party candidate. I binned it, but I’m still feeling a bit under siege. I must be in the blue zone!

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 4015 posts Report Reply

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