Posts by Russell Brown

  • Hard News: The Day After Tomorrow, in reply to linger,

    And as I’ve also said before, the advance vote total is heading for over 1 million. (I don’t think it will get very much higher than that, but it’s still comfortably on track for that target.)

    Yep. And double what it was at this point last time.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22198 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: The Day After Tomorrow, in reply to Jason Kemp,

    Good points about TOP. They need to have the “don’t be a dick” rule as their first rule. I had hoped some of their policies might be picked up by other parties but the personality of Morgan has obliterated any beneficial contributions they might have had.

    I think it's been their problem all along: all about policy, hardly ever about people. Morgan actively refuses to understand how ideas are made manifest in a democracy.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22198 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: The Day After Tomorrow,

    Rod Oram fact-checks English's claims on income and the economy – and finds them mostly bogus.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22198 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Friday Music: Laneway,…, in reply to Jamie Larnach,

    Oh! Thanks for the heads-up.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22198 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Friday Music: Laneway,…, in reply to Hugh Wilson,

    Cool!

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22198 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: Polling 2017: life beyond landlines?, in reply to Rob Stowell,

    Best guess: it’s bloody close. (But it might not be!)

    I have seen whispers suggesting that both big parties' internal polling can be summed up as "bloody close".

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22198 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: Polling 2017: life beyond landlines?, in reply to Geoff Lealand,

    Given there is no equivalent telephone directory for mobiles, even CATI is increasingly fragile, and possibly even fraudulent. Polling should be an industry in decline, rather than ascendance.,

    Oddly enough, the polls that (correctly) confounded received wisdom at the UK general election were from YouGov's online panel. It seems it can be done well, but it's not trivial to achieve that.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22198 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Friday Music: Laneway,…, in reply to Ian Dalziel,

    New video out from Blair Parkes latest release ‘Saturations’
    ‘so very useful’

    Argh – thanks Ian, I meant to put this in the post.

    and I have to say I’m loving his new paintings on old boards from Lyttelton

    Wow, those are great!

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22198 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Friday Music: Laneway,…, in reply to Ross Bell,

    Yay! The War On Drugs.

    I thought you were against that sort of thing, Ross.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22198 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: Polling 2017: life beyond landlines?,

    Here's the interview Patrick Gower kindly did for MediaTake on how they're polling this year:

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22198 posts Report Reply

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