Posts by Tom Semmens

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  • Hard News: Where are all the polls at?, in reply to Dennis Frank,

    The TV3 poll results were presented in a way designed to give TV3 the biggest possible headline. Presumably on discovering there was insufficient movement from their last poll to justify an hysterical headline, the numbers were "re-worked" to give a hysterical headline - namely, the undecided vote was excluded.

    Paddy could then engage in the worst sort of manipulative hyper-ventilating faux-journalism and TV3 got a nice ratings bump.

    God forbid a story that pointed out the solidity of the National vote, the size of the undecided vote, and the fluidity of the change vote, you know, a headline that might give the voter food for thought (oh, the horror!).

    God help me but to agree with Matthew Hooton, but this election the determination of a tiny group of unelected and self-appointed media opinion jocks to set the agenda (tax! Tax! Oh my God, TAX!) and decide the outcome has shocked me. Sure, it has been much more to Jacinda's benefit than National this time round. But we need to seriously reform our media landscape. We can't have a tiny coterie of people actually thinking they have a right to hijack our democratic process and manipulate the news to suit the needs of their networks and their personal opinions. It has to stop.

    Sevilla, Espana • Since Nov 2006 • 2129 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Where are all the polls at?, in reply to simon g,

    Latest oddity: a sort-of poll (illustrated by a not-sort-of propaganda video from the Nats) on NZ Chinese voters, which is described as being “at odds with some other mainstream polls”.

    Given the number of current and ex-National party MPs firmly in the Chinese communist parties NZ fifth column, this doesn't surprise me.

    Sevilla, Espana • Since Nov 2006 • 2129 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Where are all the polls at?, in reply to Bart Janssen,

    Since The Greens have polled from 15 to 4% and back to 6% thus far giving them a random point here or there is as good a method as the polls for guessing what they’ll have on election day.

    I hear tell the Greens themselves are confident they are polling in the 6.5% range, but their big worry is historically they need to be polling at least this much to get over the threshold on election day, given how lazy their supporters are.

    Sevilla, Espana • Since Nov 2006 • 2129 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Drugs and human rights,

    When I heard this policy I thought straight away, wow those internal poll numbers must look bad. This is dangerous blustering from a desperate government that has completely run out of fresh ideas and from a minister who happily uses the civil service and private information to target the enemies of the National party.

    Bennett WANTS to be challenged by academics and opponents. She wants to bash PC liberal lawyers and professors and for the loons of the talkback Taliban to rail against her opponents. She wants to suck the publicity oxygen away from the “relentless positivity” of Jacindamania and re-focus it on the dark hatred of objectifying human beings.

    If the public wanted a difference between the probably next leader of the National party and Jacinda Ardern, they got it on spades from Paula Bennett. Bennett is a class traitor and a sociopath- a dangerous, cunning, ignorant and utterly immoral piece of work.

    Sevilla, Espana • Since Nov 2006 • 2129 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Media Take: Scandals, selfies…, in reply to Russell Brown,

    Just FYI: we were told that Hosking was given a “clarification” to deliver last week – and rewrote it on his own, rendering the whole exercise of clarifying rather pointless.

    This would square with the stories from the likes of Liz Gunn that Hoskings basically does as he pleases and is completely out of the control of his supposed superiors. I would suspect Hoskings told his spineless bosses he would be moderating the debates, not the other way round.

    Sevilla, Espana • Since Nov 2006 • 2129 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Where are all the polls at?,

    Just curious, any up to date polling in the public arena for Ilam?

    Sevilla, Espana • Since Nov 2006 • 2129 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Where are all the polls at?,

    David Farrar is no longer sharing his polling information to various sites for Poll of Polls.

    According to Martyn Bradbury, over at the daily blog. Can anyone confirm if that is true? If so, I am getting in an extra supply of tea of biscuits for election night.

    Sevilla, Espana • Since Nov 2006 • 2129 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Metiria's Problem,

    I wonder how long it is going to take for it to sink in that TOP is nothing but the re-skinned libertarianism of a stale, pale old male rich enough to favour us with his eccentric solutions.

    Gareth Morgan reminds me of that dangerous old fool of the Lange government, Trevor De Cleene.

    Sevilla, Espana • Since Nov 2006 • 2129 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: Metiria's Problem,

    I sure do hope the Greens score above 5% in the next poll (A Roy Morgan, I believe) otherwise they could be in dire trouble if they start to suffer from people thinking a vote for the Greens is a wasted vote and either vote Labour or stay at home.

    This existential Green political catastrophe can be laid entirely at the feet of Metiria Turei and the red-Green faction of that party. Can we say that seeds of disaster planted in the Greens by Sue Bradford, whose reckless vanguardism and lazy politics of elite consensus threw Labour out of fashion and into the wilderness for nine years, have finally come to fruition in the Greens as well?

    All up, I struggle to feel sorry for the Greens. Inept political tactics and management by the Greens played a huge part in the defeat of the Clark government and Labour's banishment to the political wilderness and now inept political tactics and management - born from a delusion of grandeur that saw Metiria launch a bid to replace Labour as the primary party of the left (how long is a fortnight!) - have ironically given Labour the opportunity to do a passable impression of Lazarus and surge back into fashion, popping the phone back on the hook as they did so. In both cases, a certain out-of-touch left wing radicalism which has found a home in the Greens have been political wreckers on the mainstream chances of the two major parties of the centre/left in the build up to an election.

    Sevilla, Espana • Since Nov 2006 • 2129 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: A thundering clash of,

    Wow, what did Metiria do to John Armstrong? Steal his walking stick and only give it back after she covered it with Green party stickers?

    Sevilla, Espana • Since Nov 2006 • 2129 posts Report Reply

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