Posts by Rich of Observationz
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unleashing the lawyers on internal party faction fights
Well, as a Green supporter, can I be forgiven a bit of schadenfreude at that prospect. (I suspect it would afflict National, ACT and Labour. Peter Dunne is unlikely to be suing himself, and the Maori Party list is an irrelevance).
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Legal Beagle: Before the fall, in reply to Steve Curtis,
The tendency to favour larger parties refers to the number of allocated seats, not to who gets the last one. I'm hoping someone on here has stats students who could be given the problem of working out the probability.
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Legal Beagle: Before the fall, in reply to Steve Curtis,
Look at it as a lottery. (See here). The quotas are ranked in order, and each quota is like a lottery ball.
The more votes a party gets, the more balls. Therefore the chances of their "winning" the 120th quotient increases. National were largest party in 3/6 elections since MMP was introduced.
I could work out a formula for the probability, but won't, as I haven't got that much spare time.
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Hard News: Christchurch: Is "quite good"…, in reply to Lilith __,
It looks frigging heinous to me. Give me Wellington anyday.
Where's the cheap-rent neighbourhood where creativity can thrive? Don't tell me, in a special newly built area with an eruv around it and "Creativity Quarter" signage.
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What's the practical implication of not having an overhang? If we had none at the last election, would a list seat have been taken from the largest party or the last elected list MP?
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Field Theory: Time will tell, in reply to Bart Janssen,
Why are women in some sports competing in full (2cm thick) make up?
If it's good enough for the All Blacks..
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Hard News: Christchurch: Is "quite good"…, in reply to Richard Aston,
I am not sure NZ can take another hit like this
Well, when the big one hits Wellington, we're stuffed.
Christchurch had relatively limited infrastructure. WLG has lots, and while it's all allegedly backed up, those backups usually don't work when trouble actually happens. The people who can fix that will be dead, preoccupied or otherwise unable to get to work. We'll start with a payment system and comms collapse and once that's sorted, will be faced with the realisation of a $50bln hole in the economy that can't be filled.
Expect mass migration akin to the Irish "potato famine".
(However, Ireland is still populated, so in that sense, NZ can take that or any 'hit' short of a full-on extinction event such as a Taupo eruption).
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Hard News: Christchurch: Is "quite good"…, in reply to merc,
Put in fibre and de-centralise
Except that:
- 80% of people need to be physically at work for genuine reasons, like it's a shop/engineering works/hospital/bar
- 15% of people could work from home, but no NZ boss trusts people they can't see sat at a desk
- 4% work in software for companies that have embraced the 'agile' fad and require all their staff on site for regular f****n standup meetings
- the other 1% are very fortunate indeed. Or unemployed.Then you've got shopping trips, visits to rellies and friends, meetings, etc. A de-centralised city isn't good for public transport, so everyone will wind up driving everywhere, until $5/$10 petrol drives them into penury.
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It's all very well, but isn't job #1 to see that people have a place to live and work that they can afford? And are they going to be tearing down usable buildings to make these parks? That would seem criminal to me.
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Field Theory: Olympics-eve, in reply to Tom Semmens,
Yeah. We had the world rowing championships right here in NZ. Same standard as the Olympics.
Did anyone go? not many.
But sprinkle the Olympic pixie dust on it, and everyone's super keen. Apparently it's all about having something to talk about. If they made up an imaginary one, like miniature horse polo, or curling, I'm sure everyone would be fully into it, especially if a Keewee was in with a chance.