Posts by BenWilson
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I’m still trying to find the total voter turnout. Someone please spare me the trouble of reading the Herald. My own calculation is that it’s 69.8%, but I don’t claim those are solid figures.
ETA: I'm also surprised that this number got no air that I could discern on the news I was stuck watching last night. It was held up a lot the time before.
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OK, so I’m not exactly sure how the calculation of turnout is usually done, but here are the base numbers:
From the Election Results page:Total votes counted: 2,112,522
Special vote: 254,630From David’s link, the enrolment stats:
Est Eligible Population: 3,391,100
Total Enrolled: 3,096,247I’m not sure if the special votes are votes yet to be counted. If they are, and if the guess at turnout is based on enrolled population, then it is
(2,112,522 + 254,630)/ 3,096,247 = %76.4If the usual basis is the eligible population it’s
(2,112,522 + 254,630)/ 3,391,100 = %69.8Neither of those is a good number. Neither speaks to the Get Out The Vote drive having made a difference. To me the more sensible number is the second, that there is little difference between enrolling-and-not-voting and not-enrolling-and-not-voting in terms of measuring meaningful interaction with the democratic process.
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I make it %62 turnout but Im on my phone cant research it just yet.
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I had the misfortune to be with my folks who stubbornly and masochistically insisted on watching the TV3 coverage. Their glee that Mana was gone was cut short by my explanation about who would pick up the redistribution. To my surprise it seemed like it was the first time they had ever understood how MMP works.
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What was the turnout, btw? I didn't hear any stars on it last night at all.
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Hard News: Time to Vote, in reply to Greg Dawson,
I’d really like to understand what happened to the Green vote.
I'd guess they lost some votes to IM. I know they lost mine to it. Not really that bummed about any of this, though. It's not like I was expecting the Left to win. The best I was hoping was that Winston would get JK to blow him before giving him the keys again. Yes, it's a bummer for Labour. But I'm not going to move to the right just to make Labour feel better, and if they want to move to the right (as Jose Pagani and Matthew Hooten, presumably chosen to go against each other for "balance", agreed about all night long) then I will be even less likely to vote for them. Furthermore I think it would be bad for the country. They did the right thing, to provide genuine opposition, but unfortunately this country just isn't ready for that yet. Maybe they won't be ready for it again, ever, but that's never going to change me into thinking we should all just get with the program and turn right wing.
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OnPoint: "Project SPEARGUN underway", in reply to mark taslov,
For me the biggest question which I’d love someone to answer is if the GCSB/NSA/FYES are so powerful, and Government are so corrupt, then how did Rawshark manage to get away clean as a whistle?
I'm guessing he/she is an insider. There is no organization that can possibly get big or powerful enough to stop that kind of person. Quite the opposite, the bigger and more powerful they get, the more damaging that kind of person can be.
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Busytown: Good as gold, in reply to Bart Janssen,
And no I don't know the answer.
dr/dt = -v, where r is radius, t is time, and v is some positive viciousness constant. Solving: r(t) = A*exp(-v*t). Give me any r,t pair and we can find A
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Just wanted to check - can people who are not enrolled cast a special vote on the day? I do know a whole bunch of people who are that lazy.
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Hard News: Time to Vote, in reply to Andrew Geddis,
so long as they don’t yell out who you are voting for
And even if they did, presumably they'd be tried as minors and merely hanged, rather than being broken on the wheel like adult electoral law violators.
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