Posts by Hadyn Green
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* To work this out properly you can't simply multiply 0.015 by 30, but should multiply the probability that any given player is straight 30 times, or
p(no gay players) = .985^30
p(at least one gay player) =1-p(no gay players) ~ 0.36Dude, where were you when I was asking for stats help on Twitter (I did pure maths, no stats)
Doesn't your equation assume that they are selected from a general population and not from a particular group of rugby players? Same goes for the 15 All Blacks in history.
Also, 64% is still a good bet against. (I know I'm getting my percents and probabilities mixed).
Personally I think 1.5% is too high, based on survey bias. But we'll stick with it.
I should've also pointed out that this is for players who identify as gay.
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Maybe we can get some coverage of the Bingham Cup next year
I saw a doco about an Irish rugby team that entered that. The worst scene is when one guy breaks his thigh bone. Sadly it wasn't a great advertisement for gay rugby.
Before the tournament can start they have to pick broken glass, metal and other junk off the fields. The best player on the team is their coach, who's straight. And there were quite a few shots of the players whinging at the camera about how hard the game was.
...I forget what my point was
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I'm not sure if your source on 'percentage of gays' is the best Hadyn. Self-recognition from a phone interview? Some won't know that they're gay/bi, and some won't admit it over the phone.
I was going to mention that. Get someone to agree to do a phone interview and then answer question about their sex life when their family/friends might be in the same room. Yeah not such a great survey.
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I agree that an openly gay player who is currently playing would be a good role model etc etc. But I can understand players' fears about coming out even these days.
As for "Which All Black is gay?" style questions. I find it comes more from folks who don't like rugby and think that it somehow brings the sport down.
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How about this shirt, sports fans?
OH MY GOD! I'm going to have to get that. It should go nicely with this one I made
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In which orifice?
Olive them!
That's quite the dirty martini
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I'm so glad that in the middle of a cricket test match that NZ are actually doing well in the top sports news item is...
Someone asked me yesterday "What's happening in the cricket?" to which I responded "It's a test match so probably nothing".
But they all have pretty uniforms that you can buy so it's all good.
Were you watching the same games I was? Some of those were godawful! I suppose I should've done a rundown of them at some point.
Remember back in the 90s when Napier, Palmerston North & New Plymouth would all get a Hurricanes game - now they're lucky to get a pre-season game.
I'm going to be in the minority here but I think the provinces should only get preseason matches. During the season the teams should have a home base and bloody well stay there! It's hard to get homefield advantage if you're roaming about the country
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But it does seem like Steve Tew couldnt run a barbeque at the local rugby club
I don't subscribe to the "NZRU are idiots" meme ( not that I think they are geniuses either ). But the democratic system means they can get stuck with some unions causing trouble. And of course trying to please everybody all the time.
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I also read that, by differing metrics, Eminem and N*Sync were the artists of the decade... it's hard not to wince a little
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I can't see MEOW or Suffer Jet in netball skirts
I dunno, I think we should put that to a vote :)