Posts by linger

  • Speaker: What we think and how we vote, in reply to BenWilson,

    Probably questions measuring priorities placed on different issues would be more successful predictors of voting preference than questions measuring reactions to single issues?

    Tokyo • Since Apr 2007 • 1397 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: What we think and how we vote, in reply to BenWilson,

    Part of the difficulty in attempting to build a general model for voting choices may be that often the same label (e.g. “business-friendly”) will have different meanings and evaluations to voters for different parties.
    e.g. National basically owns the label “business-friendly”. However hard Labour tries to market itself on that basis too, it doesn’t work for them: even though both National and Labour voters may be generally in favour of government supporting businesses, National voters believe National is more business-friendly than Labour, and only existing Labour voters believe Labour is actually business-friendly. (Meanwhile, Green voters may interpret “business-friendliness” in rather different terms, either evaluating it with much lower priority – if not actually negatively – or else equating it with, say, promoting efficiency and sustainability in business.)
    Result in this case: there are probably strong entrenched differences in opinion, but a question about, say, “importance of looking after businesses” probably won’t identify any strong connection to voting patterns, except through evaluations of named parties.

    Tokyo • Since Apr 2007 • 1397 posts Report Reply

  • Southerly: A Tale of Two Iceblocks: Part…, in reply to Rich of Observationz,

    zero-energy iceblocks in winter

    Pretty sure that method won’t lead to any major energy saving: either you’re pumping liquid water, in which case the energy needed to then actually freeze it is of the same order as that needed to cool it from 25°C to 0°C, or else you’re trying to pump semi-frozen slush, which takes more energy.
    If you have subzero nocturnal temperatures, surely you’d be somewhat better off just leaving a tray of water out overnight to freeze, then bringing it in next morning?

    Tokyo • Since Apr 2007 • 1397 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: Darkness in New York, in reply to Craig Ranapia,

    Indeed it does; but who in America is currently reading that list when making their decision about whom to support for Kick-Ass-In-Chief?

    Tokyo • Since Apr 2007 • 1397 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: DNC 2016: Beyond weird, most…,

    where collage educated = having a patchwork of simple beliefs that don’t quite accurately correspond to reality, and are glued together only by unshakeable faith in one’s own importance (cf. also Trump University educated )

    Tokyo • Since Apr 2007 • 1397 posts Report Reply

  • Southerly: A Tale of Two Iceblocks: Part…,

    On the bike helmet law – even if no statistically proven effect on adult safety, there are subtler effects to consider, e.g. are children more or less likely to wear helmets if adults have to too? vs. other behavioural factors like the tendency for riders wearing helmets to feel safer, so be a little more careless, than riders not wearing helmets (which tends to minimise any actual safety benefits to adults).

    I may be slightly biassed, as I’ve personally walked away from a few cycle vs. car [and subsequent tarmac vs. head] crashes, partly thanks to wearing a helmet. (I say walked away, because the bike was munted.)

    Tokyo • Since Apr 2007 • 1397 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: DNC 2016: Beyond weird, most…, in reply to Tom Semmens,

    What, "President Putin, I say to you, build a wall"?

    Tokyo • Since Apr 2007 • 1397 posts Report Reply

  • Southerly: A Tale of Two Iceblocks: Part…, in reply to David Haywood,

    I just feel like weeping

    that's the tragedy of the co₂mmons for you.

    Tokyo • Since Apr 2007 • 1397 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: Darkness in New York, in reply to bbrooks,

    But then again, not a month ago, 538 was rating Trump’s chances at only 20%. Against that whopping amount of variance in the figures, a current estimate of 40% shouldn’t feel comfortable at all.

    Tokyo • Since Apr 2007 • 1397 posts Report Reply

  • Hard News: RNC 2016: A literal shitshow, in reply to Ian Dalziel,

    Man. Chur, Ian.

    Tokyo • Since Apr 2007 • 1397 posts Report Reply

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