Posts by Steve Curtis

  • OnPoint: Don't put words in our mouths, Rob, in reply to Sacha,

    Hes a big boy , doesnt need the nomenklatura to play minder.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 314 posts Report Reply

  • OnPoint: Don't put words in our mouths, Rob, in reply to David Hood,

    Keith, could you elaborate on what you see as the seasonal effects on name frequency?

    Others too are wondering about KN depth of stats knowledge

    He is literally saying his level of certainty is unknown + unknown. Which equals, of course: unknown.
    Well he ( salmond) certainly played with numbers to make it look better, which is as Prof Lumley says all too common with scientists too.
    http://www.statschat.org.nz/2015/07/15/a-modest-proposal/

    Of course the Herald isnt renowned for its rigour with numbers, as we had every 'data journalist' pulling them apart about Dong Lui s incredible shrinking donation to labour. Perhaps not then.

    Even today there's something in the Herald for Emma to deconstruct

    Curvaceous women are more sensitive to pain than others, scientists believe
    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/health/news/article.cfm?c_id=204&objectid=11483203

    Which to choose:
    Pull it apart as numerical and sexist nonsense or include it in the plot line of your newest book

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 314 posts Report Reply

  • OnPoint: Don't put words in our mouths, Rob,

    So we have established Keith Ng is a computer programmer who works in the journalism area ( among others)
    I loved his graphical representation of the government budget in the Herald a while back

    But I presume he wasn't responsible for this foray into statistical data journalism
    http://www.statschat.org.nz/2015/07/20/pie-chart-of-the-day/

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 314 posts Report Reply

  • OnPoint: Don't put words in our mouths, Rob,

    Even Statistics NZ says it has difficulty collecting all the data, even when its 'counting everybody'. eg
    " males are more likely to be missed than females; young adults are more likely to be missed than older adults; Maori, Asian and Pacific people are more likely to be missed than other ethnic groups."
    Asian and pacific peoples ? Oh well let's throw it all out then..

    For every fault that labours data has , there seem to be false flags planted about 'seasonal variation, or specifically 'targeting chinese buyers', or even the most ludicrous 'hurting asian people'

    Even Keith Ng, who seems to be an amatuer statistician and even a volunteer with St John Ambulance is pushing beyond his particular speciality- an angry journalist.
    It would be good to hear more people who work in everyday statistics

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 314 posts Report Reply

  • OnPoint: Don't put words in our mouths, Rob, in reply to Sue,

    hurt and pain they are causing all the many different asian communities in NZ.

    Really ? You would know this how ? Speaking for all the asian communities sounds a bit of ' I know best'.
    Many other countries have restrictions on no resident buyers and we kidding ourslelves by having a non discriminatory policy. Even China has restrictions on those who are non resident.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 314 posts Report Reply

  • Speaker: A week on from the housing controversy, in reply to DeepRed,

    If foreign speculators can’t be barred from buying up houses,

    Thats incorrect, as David Parker who was in the cabinet at the time has raised.
    Its spread by people in national who arent even sure which land in Auckland is owned by the government or been promised to others.
    You wouldn't rely on Nick Smith to tie his own shoelaces

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 314 posts Report Reply

  • OnPoint: Don't put words in our mouths, Rob, in reply to SHG,

    /facepalm

    You do know of course Harcourts have their own Chinese website, as they are an international agency.
    http://harcourts.cn/
    Barfoots has to link with another Chinese company as its an Auckland only business. This Barfoots chinese connection doesnt make it any different from other agencies. They all go after the buyers no matter where they come from.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 314 posts Report Reply

  • OnPoint: Don't put words in our mouths, Rob, in reply to SHG,

    that specifically targets Chinese-speaking house buyers in its marketing

    So you have the lists of buyers from agencies ? Their web sites look all similar to me.

    Were you meaning B&T were specifically targeting overseas clients.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 314 posts Report Reply

  • OnPoint: Don't put words in our mouths, Rob, in reply to Keith Ng,

    The data is not robust. It's for one company over a period of three months. It doesn't take variations between companies or seasonal effects into account.

    Good grief man you are grasping at straws: seasonal variations !!.
    Imagine picking the slow season for real estate sales, that changes everything then.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 314 posts Report Reply

  • OnPoint: Don't put words in our mouths, Rob,

    Statistical model works for predicting lung cancer but with a disclaimer
    "The tool is designed for people between the ages of 50 and 75, who smoked between 10 and 60 cigarettes daily for a period of 25 and 55 years. It is preceded by a disclaimer that reminds individuals that the tool is only a prediction based on statistics, and does not mean someone will or will not develop lung cancer."
    www.mskcc.org/cancer-care/types/lung/screening/lung-screening-decision-tool

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 314 posts Report Reply

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