Posts by Simon Grigg
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I wasn't suggesting they were involved with Obama, but presumably sympathetic to the cause of electing him. Then again, maybe not.
my favourite comment was the first though:
You'd think that John McCain would have protected her from this egregious invasion of privacy, he being the inventor of the Blackberry after all.
But yeah, best left behind. That said, the stupidity, to say nothing of the protocol breach, of using a Yahoo account for official business is hard to overstate.
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You seriously believe there are millions of Americans (outside of the KosKids and MILF lovers Anon) who look at their pension funds plummet and think "Palin, yeah Palin really is my biggest concern"? Wow.
No they look at the credibility of the candidates.....how simply does this need to be explained to you? It ain't hard.
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What is the issue of primary concern to the highest number of voters? What is the issue of primary concern to swing voters? What is the issue of primary concern that is so dominating in its position that it outweighs the next highest issue by a factor of typically 4 to 1?
Answer: the economy.
Yes, I know that Angus but it doesn't change the immovable fact that it still takes days, up to a week, for these things to filter through fully.
Sorry, but this is hardly radical stuff I'm touting. You just don't get it, or refuse to.
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Congratulations are in order, you have managed to highlight a meaningless statistical data error - twice. Approval/disapproval is an expression of sentiment, 20% approval does not express much better sentiment than 9%. My original point stands - the Pelosi/Reid congress is awfully unpopular.
oh for gods sake Angus, at least be adult enough to admit your error. You said:
whilst in the real world its approval rating is 9%.
That was your original point....It was cherry picked twaddle..then you started going about sentiment instead, rather than doing the smart thing and saying, as I'm guessing most here would, 'my mistake'. 10% is not a meaningless statistical error regardless of 'sentiment'.
What this means to the loony left is the Palin story is the single most devastating weapon against the Republicans ever, we are the greatest, yay us.
Simon please take a few words of advice - forget about Sarah she is not worth the effort.
No, what this means is that the best advice is probably, looking at your track record, to ignore your advice.
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Daily tracking polls really do track polling daily. You have cited the daily tracking polls of 13 - 15 September.
That is irrelevant Angus, it's still a polling truism that it takes days for these things to reflect in the polls. You have no idea what you are talking about...seriously. The Palin speech took almost a week to bounce through fully in the tracking polls. I used to, many years back, work in research and have a rough idea how it works. Commentary from the pollsters online indicates that nothing has changed much.
Simon, an ability to pay attention to world events is sometimes helpful.
On Saturday 13 September lead financial story was the extraordinary trading day of Wall St to mitigate debts pending a possible Lehman Bros collapse. On Sunday 14 September it became apparent that no rescue was possible and that Lehman Bros was going to fold, the expectation was built in all the press that Monday 15 September would be bad. Monday 15 September was very bad.
Yes, so what. Once again Angus, read above. You really don't get this do you? Do you really think that a story like that on the financial pages (the NYT has a circulation of 1m..USA wide) last Saturday is going to filter through to nationwide polling within a day or so...no it will take three or four days after it hits the talkback, the chat shows, the chatter zone, to kick through.
Only got seven weeks, making anything stick will take longer than that. If it isn't done by election day it is a deficit to the Democrats.
It's already sticking, that's evident in several polls. And you still really don't get it, the sticking is about how it sticks to McCain..how the choice of a, now, increasingly tainted VP selection reflects on an increasingly wobbly McCain. You say attack McCain..Palin was a sledgehammer.
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Those quiz question thingies that flash up on the TV screens between Wellington and Auckland have a question about a House Music club set up in the 80s by SG.
Ha..really? Am I allowed to say How Bizarre?
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"last post"...:)
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I'm not even gonna try to fix the typos in that lost post...
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Rereading your own comments for typos couldn't hurt either, I guess. Apologies.
Russell gets great, and very perverse, pleasure from the lack of an edit button here.....
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Of course you tell me it is the Palin story that is killing McCain, "proof" of which can be found in polling coincidental with a large Wall Street reversal. I'd put your assessment at 80% smoke & mirrors.
Once again Angus, polling proves a problem with you. Have you heard the much used phrase 'polling lag'. To blame the week's McCain drops on 'the economy' is either dishonest, or just plain silly. Half the polling was done before the crashes, and much of the rest on day one. The effect of Wall Street on polling is still some days off.
Wander around the various polling sites, the drop off in positives for Palin have almost exactly coincided with McCain's fall. It was predicted and repeatedly by polling analysts and ain't stopped yet.
She's a Democrat asset in making.