Southerly by David Haywood

41

The Science Behind The Three Most Important Words In The English Language

This is a transcript of an episode of Public Address Science which was originally broadcast on Radio Live, 19th May 2007, 2 pm - 3 pm.

You can listen to the original audio version of the programme by clicking on the 'Play the audio for this post' link at the top of this page or the 'Audio' button at the bottom of this page.


* * *

Theme music...

Background:

[FX: People saying the phrase 'I love you' in Dutch, Hebrew, Japanese, Bulgarian, and English.]

Voiceover:

It doesn't matter where you live in the world or what language you speak, that is the message that everyone wants to hear. Love is one of the most powerful emotions in human experience. But, from a scientific perspective, why is love so important -- and can we make any scientific predictions about its eventual outcome?

To answer these questions, I visited Professor Garth Fletcher, a research psychologist at the University of Canterbury. I began the interview by describing his 'intimate relations' laboratory.

* * *

Interviewer:

It's basically a room that's wired up so that Prof Fletcher can observe people interacting. I can see a one-way mirror on one side of me, and at least one camera -- am I missing any...?

Prof Garth Fletcher:

Three...

Interviewer:

... there's three cameras here, and presumably microphones hidden all around the place as well?

Prof Garth Fletcher:

Yes...

Interviewer:

When you have people in here interacting, how do you measure or observe the way that they're behaving?

Prof Garth Fletcher:

That's a good question.

We're interested in behaviour, and we're interested in how people think, and we're interested in how people feel. Our aim is to try and understand how those three domains contribute and work together -- specifically in terms of dyadic or couple interactions.

So we do a lot of research where we bring people who are dating, or bring people who are married (in some cases) here , and we might get them to do a variety of tasks. Frequently we'll get them to have discussions with each other, and usually we will have video recording of their behaviour -- we'll have close-ups of their faces, [and so on].

One of the things we've done in the past (in several studies) is develop a procedure where -- once people have had a ten minute discussion -- we take identical video copies of that, and then we separate up the couples.

So we keep one person in this lab; we put the other one in the other lab (and, of course, these labs are soundproof); and then we get them to review the tapes, and get them to report what they were thinking and feeling. Provided you do it straight away it seems like quite a powerful mnemonic, and it's surprising what people can remember.



Interviewer:

One of the things that you have studied -- which I find quite fascinating -- is the role that evolutionary selection plays in partner choice, in terms of attractiveness. I guess we're all familiar with this from the animal kingdom, where the parrot with the brightest feathers... or, I don't know, the lion with the biggest mane attracts a partner. [Presumably] this also happens in human relationships?

Prof Garth Fletcher:

Well, yes, indeed. There is the equivalent of the lion's mane, and the feathers on the bird, and the redness of the band on the woodpecker's leg in humans. And, in terms of humans, we have a pretty good handle actually on what people are looking for.

Basically, I always think they come down to the 'big three'. The first of the big three -- and this is numero uno, and you find this across cultures -- is that people are looking for a partner who's kind and trustworthy and warm and loyal.

Now, that's obvious, but nevertheless you still have to do the research. You still have to find out -- okay -- that might be a stereotype, that may be a first guess, but is it true? Well, the general answer is that it's true, and that it's true for both men and women.

The next one down the list, which is not quite as important, but pretty important, is attractiveness and being healthy. Being attractive, being fit, those kind of factors. And again you see this around the world. But we do find a characteristic gender difference there, and that is very much in accordance with the stereotypes -- which is that for men attractiveness is more important than for women.

The third one is finding someone who has status and resources, or who has the

potential -- ambitiousness and so forth -- to get resources and to attain status. And here you find a sex difference, but it's in exactly the opposite way. Here women rate it as more important than men, so it's the mirror image of attractiveness.

Interviewer:

Well, that's an interesting question: which is the more shallow sex, in that case. Is it better to look for physical attractiveness or affluence?

Prof Garth Fletcher:

Well, you know, the question is really: why? Evolutionary psychology has, I think, the most plausible and parsimonious explanation for this pattern.

It's all to do with something called parental investment. Humans are a bonding species, we live together over many long years, and both male and female help raise the children. Only about three per cent of mammals [bond] like this. In every single [case] -- every single one -- the male will help to raise the offspring by guarding the nest, or bringing food, or helping out in some fashion to support the mate and help raise the young.

But even in humans it's still a little asymmetrical -- because the female still invests somewhat more. The male can use that strategy of trying to impregnate as many females as possible, [but] for the female that strategy is closed off, because the woman is only capable of producing so many children. Plus the energy requirements of pregnancy, and so forth, are greater. So the woman normally invests to a greater degree than the man does.

Therefore you would expect women to be perhaps a little choosier, but also to be focussed on slightly different things than the male. The main carrier of good genes is probably attractiveness, [and] the male is particularly interested in that feature.

The woman is a bit more interested in those features

of the partner that are going to help her to provide for the children, and help to provide for her, and help to raise the family. So the female will be more interested in status and resources -- things that will contribute to the raising of the family.

Interviewer:

When you talked about the main drivers that people are looking for in terms of partner selection... in some cases looking for a warm, kind person, and a successful person, might not necessarily be compatible -- they might be contradictory. How do people make a trade-off between the three main different aims in this case?

Prof Garth Fletcher:

Well, that's a very good question, and we've actually studied this in part -- as have other people. We published a study one or two years ago, where we looked specifically at the trade-offs that men and women will make.

What we found, interestingly, was that there were gender differences. So that, for example, a woman will be quite likely to trade-off someone who has got high status and resources against not looking that great...

Interviewer:

Thank goodness for that...

Prof Garth Fletcher:

Hmmm, right...

Men are likely to trade-off the other way around. They're more likely to trade-off someone who -- if they haven't got very much in the way of status and resources, that's okay -- as long as they've got something else to bring to the table. And oftentimes that's being pretty attractive.

People will even trade-off to some extent on how intimate and loyal and kind a person is... although in a long term relationship the way people will see that is probably as a necessity rather than a luxury.

Interviewer:

Turning to the application of evolutionary theories -- is there a way to apply it to relationships... to

help people solve their relationship problems, or identify where their relationships might be going wrong?

Prof Garth Fletcher:

Many years of research have shown us what the predictors of relationship success are in western cultures. [The] two main predictors are communication and interaction -- and the second biggest predictor is really people's attitudes to each other, and their attitudes to the relationship.

But, basically, if we get couples in here and look at their behaviour we can probably predict what's going to happen down the track about 80 to 90 per cent of the time -- we'll know whether they'll be together in another three years, five years, ten years. It's not perfect, but it's not bad...

Interviewer:

It's extremely good...

Prof Garth Fletcher:

... we know how to do that -- it's not that difficult to do, actually, if you know what you're doing.

Interviewer:

I guess I have to ask -- is that an alarming piece of self-knowledge to have when it comes to your own relationships?

Prof Garth Fletcher:

Well, it's an interesting question... I don't know that I'll answer it directly. But intimate relationships, and sexual relationships, contain some of the most powerful emotions that we know of: grief, love, sexual jealousy. And I've experienced all three -- as many people have.

One of the main things those experiences taught me as a scientist, was that these emotions have very powerful motivating properties. They need to be taken very seriously -- they're worth scientific investigation.

When you understand something pretty well from a scientific angle, it doesn't do anything to prevent the emotions or cognitions or normal behaviours occurring. And you have completely normal relationships, which occur in precisely the same way as everybody else's does. Which is very fortunate...

* * *

Voiceover:

Next week on Public Address Science: the equally emotion-provoking subject of biofuels.

Theme music...

* * *
Further information on the science of intimate relationships:

41

The Astonishing New Car from Bavaria that Won't Cost the Earth.

This is a transcript of an episode of Public Address Science which was originally broadcast on Radio Live, 12th May 2007, 2 pm - 3 pm.

You can listen to the original audio version of the programme by clicking on the 'Play the audio for this post' link at the top of this page or the 'Audio' button at the bottom of this page.


* * *

Theme music...

Background:

[Sound of Ford GT40 engine ignition]

Voiceover:

Many listeners will instantly recognize this sound as the 4.7 litre V8 engine from the Ford GT40. Now I must admit that at some subconscious level, in the primeval reptile part of my brain, I'm tremendously impressed with the stupendous noise and power output of this type of engine.

However, I know in the rational scientific part of my brain -- the bit that's developed over the last million or so years of evolution -- that this car, and others like it, are nothing short of environmental and economic disaster areas.

Luckily for us, the standard passenger vehicle in New Zealand is nowhere near as grossly inefficient and gas-guzzling as the GT-40. Nevertheless, there's still scope to vastly reduce the amount of energy we use, and the import dollars we spend, on travelling from 'A' to 'B' in private passenger vehicles.

The standard car in New Zealand consumes about eight litres of fuel for every hundred kilometres travelled. Compare that with the 1955 Messerschmitt KR200 from Bavaria, which -- fifty years ago -- only required 3.2 litres/100 km, and you can see that there's still considerable room for improvement. Or, for a more modern car, what about the 2005 Audi A2 5-door -- also, coincidentally, from Bavaria, which only requires 3.0 litres/100 km.

It may surprise you to hear this, but a vast amount of energy is consumed by New Zealand's private passenger vehicles. For example, if everyone in this country simply changed their car for the super-efficient Audi A2, then it would not only cut the transport fuel consumption of New Zealand households by more than half -- and would slash New Zealand's total energy consumption by more than ten per cent.

That translates to a total savings at

the pump of around 2.8 billion dollars, most of which would otherwise be leaving the country, and adversely affecting our balance of trade. And all this huge savings [is possible] without reducing our total distance travelled by so much as a centimetre -- it's all down to the efficiency of the car we use.

But now the goalposts for automotive fuel consumption have been moved again. Realizing that most driving is merely commuting with one (or perhaps two) adults in the car, Bavarian auto-manufacturer Loremo have recently produced an innovative and sporty-looking two-seater -- which can trundle along the autobahn at 160 kilometres per hour, has ample room for luggage in the back (or, alternatively, a couple of children), and has a truly astonishing fuel efficiency. At only 1.5 litres/100 km it slashes the fuel efficiency record for a production car, and all at a retail price of only €10,990.

Let's try to put all these fuel efficiency figures into perspective. Imagine driving a car down the whole of New Zealand from Cape Reinga to Bluff. In one of those black supercharged Range Rovers that I see parked outside Christ's College every weekday, this would cost around $720 in petrol at the pump. In a standard Toyota Corolla the same trip would cost you a little under $300. In the Audi A2 5-door it would set you back a mere $67 -- only about the same as your diesel road-tax for the trip.

And in the Loremo it would cost you less than the CD you listened to on the way -- only about $33.

The Loremo company have just been exhibiting their new car at the massive Hannover Trade Fair, and I spoke on the phone to Uli Sommer, their head of Concept Development. I asked him how the

Loremo had been received...

Uli Sommer:

The response was great. We had a lot of people [at] our booth, and we had many TV teams. And everybody spoke [favourably] about Loremo.

Interviewer:

That's very heartening...

The basic principles involved in the design of fuel efficient cars have been known for many years (going back to cars like the Messerschmitt KR200), but automakers haven't really seen it as being particularly important. Why were you inspired to design a car for fuel efficiency -- rather than, say, speed or power as with other car companies?

Uli Sommer:

From childhood I was a fan of any individual mobility -- especially cars. And [also] from childhood my parents made me [aware of] the problem of [finite energy] resources. So I had a conflict. And [eventually] I tried to solve this conflict by making emotional cars which are really sporty, but really efficient.

Interviewer:

What were the main engineering challenges that you had to overcome in terms of designing the Loremo car?

Uli Sommer:

[From a] certain [perspective] I did [nothing] new. The [most] important [part of the] invention was the idea to make an economic car.

That sounds really simple, but [over] the last [few] years [people] have so often spoken about alternative [fuels] or high-efficiency [motors]. And engineers today know that the efficiency of [motors], or the potential of alternative [fuels]... isn't as large as the potential of an efficient body and chassis.

So we only have two main targets. First target: reduce wind resistance. Second target: reduce weight. And any energy wasted is combined within those two [parameters].

Interviewer:

Okay, so your main design objectives were to minimize weight, aerodynamic drag, and -- I guess -- cost. How did you approach these problems in an engineering sense? Did you rely on wind-tunnel

testing, or computer modelling...?

Uli Sommer:

We used [both]. But the most important thing is that we are 'consequent' [(a literal translation of the German word 'konsequent')] in designing.

So we don't use expensive materials [to make] the car lightweight. We are not the best aerodynamic specialists in the world -- we made the car long, narrow, and flat, and gave it a 'consequent' form. So at the first attempt we had a very good drag resistance.

And we reduced [the weight] by using a linear cell structure made of steel plate -- so that the selling price can be [very low].

Interviewer:

So "consequent design" [(a literal translation of the German 'konsequente Konstruktion')] is what we'd refer to in English as 'stringent design' or 'design without compromise' -- where every single design decision must be consistent with the final goals. And, interestingly, this has led you away from the traditional monocoque approach?

Uli Sommer:

It's not a monocoque [design], but it has some similarities.

The structure has three longitudinal girders [at] the height of bumpers, so you cannot open the door at the side. The doors are opening to the top, and because the car is so flat the entrance is [actually] more comfortable than with side doors.

The [resulting] structure is rather simple -- like a nail which doesn't have bending forces and so is rather rigid.

Interviewer:

So you've used a small amount of steel in the linear cell structure -- and then the rest of the body is presumably another material?

Uli Sommer:

That's thermoplastics -- which are cheap, simple, and recyclable. [Our] main construction principle is simplicity.

Interviewer:

Loremo's achievement of 1.5 litres/100 km is truly remarkable (even more so for a car costing under €11,000) -- you're certainly to be congratulated on that! Given

the interest that your car has received in Europe, other auto manufacturers have now got a new target to aim at -- do you expect them to try and beat your efficiency in the near future?

Uli Sommer:

The car has some special aspects, which perhaps wouldn't pass any marketing department of a normal car producer!

[However] we are expecting some competition -- there's no question. [The] future will change many things, but we think our concept is very attractive. With or without [competition from] a big OEM [(Original Equipment Manufacturer)] we will survive.

* * *
Voiceover:

I certainly hope that Loremo survives. They will be producing a right-hand drive model suitable for New Zealand. And, translating the current price into our currency, you'd expect to pay around $20,000 for a brand new Loremo. While this vehicle might not be suitable for everyone, it must be hoped that other manufacturers will be motivated to lift their game, so that far less energy is wasted in moving us from 'A' to 'B' by car.

Theme music...

* * *
Further information on the Loremo car:

  • Read more about the Loremo.

  • Read about the Audi A2 a super-efficient (but very expensive) 5-door car which ceased production in 2005.

  • Read about the Messerschmitt KR200 a 1950s production car with a fuel consumption of only 3.2 litres/100 km.

  • Read about the Volkswagen '1-litre' car a concept car with a fuel consumption of only 1.0 litres/100 km. Volkswagen have no plans to produce or sell this vehicle (unfortunately).
26

Could the Mysterious Agricultural Techniques of an Ancient Amazonian Civilization Make New Zealand Farming More Competitive?

This is a transcript of an episode of Public Address Science which was originally broadcast on Radio Live, 5th May 2007, 2 pm - 3 pm.

You can listen to the original audio version of the programme by clicking on the 'Play the audio for this post' link at the top of this page or the 'Audio' button at the bottom of this page.


* * *

Theme music...

Voiceover:

A month or so ago, I wrote an article on Public Address in which I implied that it would be very difficult to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from New Zealand agriculture. Well, it turns out that perhaps I was being unduly pessimistic -- as structural biologist Alfred Harris has subsequently explained to me.

Alfred's good-news story begins -- like all the best stories -- with a mysterious substance hidden deep in the Amazon region of South America. Terra Preta de Indio or 'Amazonian Dark Earths' are areas which contain soil of exceptionally high fertility.

Naturally enough, scientists were very keen to find out what made these soils so special -- but no-one expected the answer that they got. It turns out that these soils were actually man-made.

Pre-European Amazonians had manufactured these soils by working charcoal and manure into ordinary low-fertility earth. Of course, the fertilizing properties of manure are well-known, but it was the addition of charcoal which dramatically improved soil fertility. So much so, in fact, that the soil was still extremely fertile hundreds of years after the collapse of the civilization that produced it.

And here's an interesting co-incidence -- go a third of the way around the world to New Zealand, and archaeologists discover that pre-European Maori also worked charcoal into the soil [although there is no archaeological evidence to suggest that Maori did this with a deliberate intent to increase soil fertility].

It seems like an extraordinary co-incidence. Structural biologist Alfred Harris takes up the story...

* * *

Alfred Harris:

In Waimea, for example -- where there's hundreds of acres of what they call 'Maori soils' -- the experimental work was done on that site, and it was very clear that charcoal was mixed far further into the soil than would be expected simply from just the burning of the site.

Interviewer:

It's fascinating that two cultures so far apart should both discover the effects of charcoal in terms of agriculture. At a scientific level, how the does charcoal actually improve soil fertility?

Alfred Harris:

Okay, going back to basics: plant growth is absolutely dependent on a number of key elements -- and the major elements are nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. Each of those elements are highly soluble. So given a reasonable sort of rainfall, which you need for good plant growth, they'll move through the soil very quickly.

So the fertility of the soil is really dependent on the ability of that soil to retain those key elements. The soils where charcoal seems to have a particular effect -- and that's in South America, and in Japan, and here in New Zealand -- are derived from weathered volcanic ashes.

Charcoal in the Terra Preta [de Indio] soils in South America increase the fertility and maintain it over very long periods of time. It appears to have more to do with the retention of nitrogen in that situation -- but in Japan, in different types of volcanic soils, it appears the effect is actually to increase the levels of mycorrhizal fungi, which, in turn, makes the phosphate [that is] heavily bound in those soils available to plants.

Interviewer:

Okay, right, so what you're saying is that the charcoal has at least two different effects in volcanic soils. In the case of South America it slows the rate at

which nitrogen is leached out of the soil by rainwater. But in New Zealand and Japan, there's a different mechanism, where it effectively unlocks the phosphate already in the soil -- so as to make it available to plants.

Alfred Harris:

Yeah, I don't think there's actually a universal effect. I think what we're seeing is a combination of different effects, which we're only just beginning to understand.

Interviewer:

So the exact mechanics of how charcoal increases fertility isn't necessarily fully understood yet, but it's been conclusively proven that it does actually work?

Alfred Harris:

Beyond a shadow of doubt -- that's absolutely right. And what's been demonstrated (by the Japanese, primarily) is that the addition of charcoal can reduce the amount of fertilizer that you need to put in for the same fertility effect. And they're quite substantial differences... you're talking 20, 30, 40 per cent.

Interviewer:

Right, which begs the question -- why isn't this already standard practice for agriculturalists?

Alfred Harris:

Again, that's a really good question. See what they say all the way through, is that: "Hey, really great that it works -- but the cost of producing the charcoal, and actually incorporating it in the soil means that it's not going to work economically". And they're absolutely right, in [terms] of conventional agriculture, where you've got cheap petrochemical products, and you can fix your nitrogen from the atmosphere using [cheap] energy. But, of course, what's happening now is that the economics of all of that is suddenly changing very fast.

Interviewer:

So the rising world energy prices have now, perhaps, made financially worthwhile the fertilizer savings which are possible from charcoal addition.

But what you're also doing with the charcoal addition, of course, is effectively sequestering atmospheric carbon in the soil -- because carbon charcoal

is derived from wood products, and therefore ultimately from the atmosphere. Does the carbon actually stay in the soil long enough to be useful from a sequestration point of view?

Alfred Harris:

Well, these Terra Preta [de Indio] soils in South America were developed about the time that the Spanish conquered... When the Spanish came back there and settled those civilizations had vanished. [So] the suggestion is that [the carbon will stay in the soil] for hundreds, if not thousands, of years.

But the other thing that's really crucial and really interesting is that (back in 1996) some very clever scientists in America discovered that in [the standard practice of soil analysis] for humus content they were throwing out... 27 per cent of the soil carbon. Now what they found was that [this] carbon was produced by mycorrhizal fungi, and it's the glue of soils. And what it does is that it glues the clay particles together in such a way that bacteria can't raid them. [So] that [these carbon] molecule[s] will hang round in the soil... for hundreds of years

Interviewer:

Wow, so you actually get a double effect in terms of carbon sequestration?

Alfred Harris:

That's absolutely right. When you put charcoal in the soil, you're fixing carbon. When you put charcoal in the soil, you're [also] increasing the level of mycorrhizal fungi, which themselves fix carbon. So it's one of those wonderful virtuous circles where you actually get a double whammy. You [end up with] fixed carbon from two different sources.

In a country like New Zealand, which grows biomass, it seems to me to be an absolute must if we're going to change from a fossil carbon economy. You know, it [would] really put New Zealand agriculture back on the world stage, and on the front

foot. Because biomass is produced so fast here [that] we have an advantage over virtually every other country in the world.

Interviewer:

Is there actually anyone in New Zealand who's seriously investigating the possibility of using charcoal to make our agriculture more efficient and environmentally-friendly?

Alfred Harris:

I'm involved in a start-up company called 'Aotearoa Biocarbon', and our intention is to produce charcoal in New Zealand. And what we're looking at, [firstly], is... to reduce the amount of fertilizer input.

The other [possibility], of course, is that if charcoal can be used to hold nitrogen in the soil, it can also be used to pull nitrogen out of places where it's not wanted [such as] Lake Taupo. Now, what our company is looking at... is getting paid to take waste from the forestry industry, turn that into charcoal, and then get paid by the powers-that-be to remove nitrogen (particularly from lakes) -- to produce product [that] is a slow release fertilizer, which you can then sell onto farmers.

* * *
Voiceover:

So it's possible that the use of charcoal in New Zealand agriculture could reduce fertilizer use, save energy, and sequester carbon all at the same time. With rising petroleum costs it seems like maybe the time has come to re-learn a few lessons about charcoal from the ancient Amazonians.

Theme music...

* * *
Further information on the use of charcoal in agriculture:

41

New Zealand's Wave Energy Technology programme

This is a transcript of an episode of Public Address Science which was originally broadcast on Radio Live, 28th April 2007, 2 pm - 3 pm.

You can listen to the original audio version of the programme by clicking on the 'Play the audio for this post' link at the top of this page or the 'Audio' button at the bottom of this page.


* * *

Theme music...

Voiceover:

What could be more pleasant than a day at the beach?

Well, practically anything as far as I'm concerned. I don't really enjoy sand in my underwear -- and I'm completely bored by lying on hot beach, and giving myself skin cancer.

What I do enjoy, however, is getting out and swimming in the ocean. And, in particular, thinking about ways to extract useful energy from the waves.

As a ball-park figure, New Zealand's total wave energy resource is around 2500 petajoules per annum. That's a lot of energy -- about five times more than all the energy produced or imported into New Zealand every year.

In practice, of course, it's only possible to exploit a small percentage of this energy. Firstly, because we can't surround New Zealand with an impenetrable barrier of wave energy converters. And, secondly, because the efficiency of any practical wave energy conversion system will be far less than 100 per cent.

Nevertheless, wave energy still represents a very significant renewable energy resource for this country -- and one that's actually more reliable and predictable than wind energy. What a shame that the potential of wave energy in New Zealand appears to have been completely ignored.

Well, actually, that's not entirely true.

You may never have heard of them, but Industrial Research Ltd (or IRL) is one of New Zealand's Crown Research Institutes. They've been given some spare change, and told to invent a machine that can extract useful energy from New Zealand's ocean wave resource. And, it turns out, that's exactly what they've done.

I visited energy engineer Alister Gardiner -- who heads the research team for IRL's wave energy programme.

* * *

Interviewer:

I'm now standing in IRL's Christchurch laboratories looking at their prototype wave energy device, which has been dubbed the 'Wave Wobbler'. There are two different parts to this device. One part is a large rectangular block about 6 metres long welded together out of steel sheets. It's rather dense and heavy-looking, and it reminds me a little of the monolith from 2001: A Space Odyssey except that it's painted bright yellow. A swing-arm protrudes from the top of this monolith, and is attached to a large rectangular float -- which is slightly smaller and much lighter-looking.

Alister, can you explain how this device generates electricity from ocean waves?

Alister Gardiner:

Well this, of course, is an experimental device -- but basically it's quite simple. The large monolithic hull you mentioned [floats] vertically in the water just below the waterline. The float sits horizontally on top of the water, and the motion of the waves oscillates the float up and down.

Interviewer:

Okay, so the monolith is sitting in the water [and] effectively it hardly moves at all. But the float follows the surface of the waves, and the difference in the motion enables you to generate electricity [via a suitable mechanism].

Alister Gardiner:

Fundamentally, yes. Although, of course, it's not quite as simple as that. There's some quite complex maths around getting the two parts to move together in a synergistic way.

Interviewer:

And you've obviously done quite a lot of modelling to explore that?

Alister Gardiner:

Yes, we spent two years developing some complex [mathematical] engineering models to develop the whole concept and come up with an optimized [design].

Interviewer:

So I know you've had this prototype in Lyttelton harbour, which only has tiny waves. In your further testing -- when you actually get it out into the

real ocean -- what sort of power output do you expect from it?

Alister Gardiner:

With the larger scale version which we'll be heading towards commercialization we're expecting round about 100 kilowatts. Which is enough power to keep round about a hundred houses going.

Interviewer:

Okay, right, it wouldn't just be one [machine] by itself -- you might have a hundred or more all moored together in a sort of a 'field' of wave generators?

Alister Gardiner:

Yes, that's right. And we estimate from our modelling that we'd probably get each individual device up to around about a megawatt ultimately. But they will even be larger still.

Interviewer:

So what sort of size are you expecting for that in terms of length and mass?

Alister Gardiner:

Well the 100 kilowatt version, which is really our first commercial focus, may weigh between 30 and 100 tonnes in total. So it's quite a substantial device -- although, of course, you only see a small portion of it above the surface.

Interviewer:

How long [i.e. the length of the device] would that be underneath the water?

Alister Gardiner:

It could be up to ten to 15 metres long.

Interviewer:

And so would you be using water as ballast -- or would it be made out of concrete, or steel, or something [equally] heavy to provide all that mass?

Alister Gardiner:

Yes, that's one of the secrets in fact. Most of the mass is taken up by water. So you don't have to actually tow it out [to the desired location]; you simply flood it when you get it there.

Interviewer:

On land it's actually quite a light-weight device, it's only when you put it into the sea that it [fills up with water and] becomes this very heavy machine?

Alister Gardiner:

Yes, you

might argue that it's a submerged yacht with a small float sitting at the top of it.

* * *
Voiceover:

Naturally enough, IRL aren't the only company who are looking into wave energy devices. Research teams are working on a variety of different systems in countries all around the world.

The United Kingdom are investing hundred of millions of New Zealand dollars on their marine energy program, and British company Ocean Power Delivery are definitely leading the field in terms of development.

Their 'Pelamis' wave energy device is a truly huge machine. It measures 120 metres long, and floats on the surface of the sea like a gigantic snake.

It couldn't be more different from IRL's 'Wave Wobbler' device, and -- when we'd returned to his office -- I asked Alister Gardiner why the research team at IRL had chosen to take such a different path.

* * *

Alister Gardiner:

There's no question that Pelamis is the benchmark at the moment. But we feel that our concept of going for a point-absorber gives us more flexibility -- and, in theory, should provide a more cost-efficient device because of the lower use of materials. It's more flexible because we think we can make smaller devices, [which] could be used off-shore on remote islands at a lower cost.

Interviewer:

What are the comparative efficiencies of the devices -- do you have any sort of feel for that?

Alister Gardiner:

One can look at the Pelamis data sheets, and work out pretty quickly that their efficiency is relatively low -- perhaps just a few per cent. That has it's disadvantages in terms of the size of the device. We feel from our modelling that we can achieve a much higher efficiency than that. And so we've started with an inherent design that we think is cost efficient.

Another point, I guess, is that if a large portion of the device is below the water -- beneath the surface of the waves -- then there's better chance of it remaining viable and surviving storm conditions.

Interviewer:

Which is important when at least some of New Zealand's in the roaring forties, and it's really subject to some pretty horrific waves.

Alister Gardiner:

Exactly, yes. New Zealand is very fortunate in its wave energy resource.

Interviewer:

We're fortunate in wind, too. And we've seen recently a little bit of wind coming on to the market -- there are wind farms generating a very small amount of New Zealand's electricity. How long do you think it's going to be before we see something equivalent to that beginning to happen with wave energy?

Alister Gardiner:

We think it will happen a lot quicker.

I would expect

that by 2010 there will be a number of commercial (or pre-commercial) devices in the water from various suppliers. And, by 2015... maybe 2020... we'll certainly see quite substantial uptake of marine energy of various sorts.

Interviewer:

So that's actually really quickly.

Alister Gardiner:

You've only got to look at the energy crisis in the 80s, and so on, to see the massive involvement in wind energy. Now when the fuel prices came down that more or less stopped, which is the only reason it took maybe twenty years for wind energy to get to where it is today. If that research effort had continued we would have seen wind turbines and wind farms much earlier...

Interviewer:

That brings me to something else, which is whether rising energy prices are a threat to New Zealand or also something of an opportunity as well? What I'm thinking here is of Denmark. You talked about the oil crisis in the 70s, and [Denmark] responded by investing heavily in wind energy technology. And they've now become -- as a country -- the world's leading exporter of wind turbines. Is there a similar opportunity for New Zealand here in terms of marine energy?

Alister Gardiner:

There's no reason at all why we can't produce a technology that's competitive globally. And, as I've mentioned, we think that basic concepts that we're putting together are potentially globally competitive.

However New Zealand does need a supportive environment and an enthusiasm to capture this [opportunity]. And this is, of course, what happened in Denmark. There was a strong government support for a particular type of energy technology.

We certainly need that sort of involvement (I think) within New Zealand. Both from the energy companies -- who are obviously very keen on these technologies -- and probably government leadership

[as well], and obviously the manufacturing companies that will benefit down the track.

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Voiceover:

IRL have clearly come a very long way with their 'Wave Wobbler' device, but only time will tell whether New Zealand has the political and economic will to develop a domestic wave energy industry -- or whether, as with so many of our other innovative technologies, we'll be content to let the opportunity slip through our fingers.

Theme music...

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Further information on wave energy devices:

9

What on earth is a Grätzel solar cell, and why is it so important?

This is a transcript of an episode of Public Address Science which was originally broadcast on Radio Live, 21st April 2007, 2 pm - 3 pm.

You can listen to the original audio version of the programme by clicking on the 'Play the audio for this post' link at the top of this page or the 'Audio' button at the bottom of this page.

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Theme music...

Voiceover:

Solar energy... in theory, it should be the answer to all our energy problems. Properly managed, more than enough solar energy falls on the roofs of New Zealand houses to provide all our domestic electricity needs.

So why don't we make use of it?

One problem is that -- fairly obviously -- the sun only shines during the day, which means that storage batteries [or similar] are required to provide energy for use at night. The other problem is that the solar cells used to generate electricity from sunlight are incredibly expensive.

That's because the raw silicon ingots used for solar cell manufacture require production technology that is astonishingly high-tech, enormously energy-intensive, and therefore mind-bogglingly costly. As a result, a 60 watt solar panel (enough to power a single dim incandescent light bulb) will set you back by around $850 dollars.

And why would you pay that sort of money when you get virtually unlimited electricity out of the power lines at a fraction of the cost and effort?

But the price of solar generated electricity is actually coming down. For each doubling of production capacity in the factories that manufacture solar cells, the price has fallen by around 20 per cent. In recent years, that's equated to a price drop of around 5 per cent per annum.

So do we all just have to wait for a few decades until we can afford those shiny solar-electricity panels on our roof?

Well, not necessarily. A new type of solar cell technology has emerged which looks set to change everything. Grätzel solar cells seem likely to slash the cost of solar generated electricity. They've actually been around since the early 1990s, but it's only comparatively recently that scientists have been able to get them work in a reliable

manner.

One of the research teams at the forefront of Grätzel solar cell technology is the Nanomaterials Research Centre at Massey University. I talked to Dr Wayne Campbell about what the future might hold for solar energy.

I asked him to start by explaining how conventional silicon solar cells are made.

Dr Wayne Campbell:

The common silicon solar cell [which] you can buy is basically made from pure silicon ingots. It's... sliced up into little slices, and then doped with a n-type or a p-type dopant to make the actual solar cell. It forms what they call a p-n junction. When light shines over that junction you get electron transfer.

Interviewer:

So putting it in very simplistic terms: the energy in the photons of sunlight knocks loose electrons from the doped silicon material, which produces an electric current. In contrast, how do Grätzel cells work -- and how are they made?

Dr Wayne Campbell:

It's a photoelectochemical cell. It works completely differently really. In a simple sense you have a dye, which absorbs light [and] excites an electron up to a higher energy part of the molecule. From there that energy transfers to a semi-conductor -- in this case it's usually Titanium dioxide -- and from there it's collected on a transparent conducting surface. It's basically photoexcitation followed by charge separation... and then you get the loop of the electron back to the dye again.

Interviewer:

So the energy from the sunlight is first absorbed into a dye, and then there's a second step where the energy is transferred from the dye into a semiconductor material. And, in this case, the semi-conductor material is titanium dioxide, which is presumably cheaper to produce than the silicon crystals in conventional solar cells?

Dr Wayne Campbell:

It's a very thin layer, so it's

very cheap.

Interviewer:

And is the manufacture of Grätzel cells a simpler production process than for conventional silicon cells?

Dr Wayne Campbell:

Yeah, basically [either] it's screen printing, or simple pyrolysis, or plasma deposition.

Interviewer:

So I know that your research group have been collaborating with Professor Grätzel who invented these Grätzel cells in Switzerland. What aspect of the technology are you actually looking at?

Dr Wayne Campbell:

Our main area [is] not so much developing the cell anymore -- it's just developing a better dye for these cells. The current dyes that are used are quite expensive because they're Ruthenium-based. So they're based on a fairly rare metal which would have limited supplies if it was used in large quantities.

Interviewer:

So you've had quite a bit of success with your research. What are the advantages of the new Grätzel cell dyes that your team has developed.

Dr Wayne Campbell:

It's a lot cheaper to make than the Ruthenium dyes -- basically because it doesn't have any rare metals.

It's based on a chlorophyll molecule, which is the porphyrin haem group in blood (the red molecule in blood). [So] there's no reason for [the Grätzel solar cells] to be toxic -- or anything like that -- [when they are disposed of] afterwards either.

Interviewer:

So basing your dyes on chlorophyll, the chemical that plants use to absorb sunlight, and blood, an energy carrier in animals, that's really a case of science imitating nature. What efficiency are you getting out of the Grätzel solar cells?

Dr Wayne Campbell:

The best for the Grätzel cell was with the Ruthenium dye -- and that's quoted at 10.1 per cent.

Interviewer:

Okay, and with the new dye that you've developed?

Dr Wayne Campbell:

The latest report from Grätzel's lab is for 7.1 per

cent, so we're quite happy with that. [And] it seems to be very reproducible, [whereas] some of these other dyes don't always seem to be reproducible.

The dye itself hasn't actually been optimised properly in the cell either. [Grätzel's laboratory tested it with] the electrolytes and stuff that they normally would use with their Ruthenium dyes.

By modifying things like [the electrolytes] you can actually get a lot more performance out of the cell. We expect even better than 7 per cent, definitely.

Interviewer:

So you've got good efficiency -- but not quite as good as normal silicon solar cells, which are around the 9 to 15 per cent range, but of course your Grätzel cells would end up being much cheaper, wouldn't they? Do you have any feel for the cost reduction?

Dr Wayne Campbell:

Probably it's going to be [about] one-tenth the cost -- but we don't have any exact figures really, at the moment.

Interviewer:

Wow, that would be a significant cost reduction compared to the comparatively slow rate that the price of conventional solar cells is dropping. So even if the Grätzel cells stay at their current efficiency you're still cutting something like four-fifths off the price on a per watt basis (in comparison to silicon-based cells).

Dr Wayne Campbell:

Yeah... [the Grätzel cells will only be] a fraction of the [current] cost.

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Voiceover:

Despite a somewhat lower efficiency, the much lower cost of Grätzel solar cells is certain to bring about a dramatic sea-change in the amount of solar-derived electricity in our society's energy mix.

Dr Campbell expects to see Grätzel cells based on the more expensive Ruthenium dyes in shops within the next few years. Although it may take a while longer before cells with the cheaper chlorophyll-based dyes make an appearance.

Either way, the Grätzel solar cells are another important part of the jigsaw of technologies that will be needed to ensure a secure energy future.

Theme music...

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Further information on Grätzel solar cells: