Hard News by Russell Brown

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Hard News: Five further thoughts

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  • steven crawford, in reply to Chris Waugh,

    And some people try to say there was no, or not really very much at all, xenophobia in the opposition to Internet Mana?

    There is also a bit of the old WTF, how dare that Maori drive a better car than me? It makes me feel like a second class citizen!

    Atlantis • Since Nov 2006 • 4327 posts Report Reply

  • Lucy Telfar Barnard,

    I just looked him up. He doesn't even look old enough to vote, but he gets handed a safe seat on his first outing? Oh well, guess noone can accuse National of not planning for the next generation.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 580 posts Report Reply

  • Tim Michie,

    In terms of what Labour policy most might've been aware of (if not the details) I think some of negative reaction to the CGT plays into the result.

    Auckward • Since Nov 2006 • 614 posts Report Reply

  • Russell Brown, in reply to Tim Michie,

    In terms of what Labour policy most might’ve been aware of (if not the details) I think some of negative reaction to the CGT plays into the result.

    Yes, in that, particularly through Cunliffe's hapless grasp of the details, it created exactly the uncertainty the voters didn't want.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22756 posts Report Reply

  • Chris Waugh,

    Wellington • Since Jan 2007 • 2401 posts Report Reply

  • George Darroch,

    And I’m in complete agreement that it’s a false dilemma, which is why it makes me incredibly angry to see it being argued again. Don’t think I made my sarcasm clear enough on the earlier post.

    This is upsetting me too. Blairism will destroy that party, and I mean that literally.

    WLG • Since Nov 2006 • 2264 posts Report Reply

  • Joe Wylie, in reply to George Darroch,

    Blairism will destroy that party, and I mean that literally.

    Jose Pagani's vision of a grand coalition with National must be the only reason she continues to drag out the rancid carcass of Blair's legacy.

    flat earth • Since Jan 2007 • 4591 posts Report Reply

  • Keir Leslie, in reply to George Darroch,

    Yeah. But this is the line that the Labour right will be running over the next few weeks: we gave the unions and the left their chance, and look what happened. Worst result ever. The only people who did well were Nash and Davis, who ran on pretty centrist platforms.

    The stuff about Nash/Davis is bollocks, but the party did give the unions/left their guy, and he fucked up. Inevitably there's going to be push back.

    The Labour left needs to pull itself together and actually think about what the hell it is up to, and seriously reconsider its stance, because whatever Greg Presland and Martyn Bradbury are selling, the voters aren't buying.

    Since Jul 2008 • 1452 posts Report Reply

  • Martin Hermans,

    I read through this thread and think, yes, lots of good valid arguments and points of view worth discussing. But would anything said here ever gain any traction on, say, a Trade Me opinions message board? Because they are the people who have to be won over.

    Are Labour and the Greens simply guilty of respecting the voter too much? Whereas National have no qualms about aiming for the lowest common denominator?

    Remember when we pooh-poohed stupid American voters for re-electing George W? That would never happen here! Well, guess what…

    Auckland • Since Sep 2014 • 4 posts Report Reply

  • Russell Brown, in reply to Craig Ranapia,

    Like it or not, what I’m hearing is that Kelvin Davis just got the basics right in ways Labour hasn’t in Te Tai Tokerau for a long time – reconnected with a lot of flax roots networks, rebuilt up an effective and energized ground operation, and worked his arse off in a huge electorate that’s really hard to stay visible in because it’s geographically huge and your target voters are widely dispersed.

    Yes. And it's not like he was coming from nowhere -- he was bloody close last time. He will make a decent and capable MP and he may well hold that seat for a long time.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22756 posts Report Reply

  • Dismal Soyanz, in reply to Martin Hermans,

    Yes and no.

    Labour did not have a simple, easy to understand platform that was well communicated. So, yes, if they had that the netizens of Trade Me would have been able to get it (whether they believed is another matter).

    But the rout went much deeper. I’ve been looking at my electorate’s data (and it would seem others are similar) on the electorate/party vote schism. There must have been a big chunk of voters voting the Labour MP but party vote National. While some may have done that in the past, it was glaringly obvious this time around. That doesn’t occur by only failing to make Josephine Average understand the message. It suggests that she actually dislikes the message (or what she perceives as the message).

    What ails the Labour Party now is much worse than the Democrats failure against Dubya in 2004, IMO.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2010 • 310 posts Report Reply

  • Ian Dalziel, in reply to Joe Wylie,

    rust never sleeps...

    the rancid carcass of Blair’s legacy

    Who knew he had a Subaru,
    I'd have thought Landrover at least...
    ...oops that's owned by Jaguar, which is
    owned by Tata Motors in India...

    oh well, dreams of Empire...

    Christchurch • Since Dec 2006 • 7889 posts Report Reply

  • Greg Dawson, in reply to Joe Wylie,

    the rancid carcass of Blair’s legacy.

    Speaking of which, one wonders if the reinvigorated National government will be sending the SAS back into a land war in asia.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 294 posts Report Reply

  • tussock, in reply to mark taslov,

    Random.

    "Well, yes, but we're doing alright."

    See, these things you think are important, a bunch of people don't. They just want a carrot. National's message was there are enough carrots, thank you, we've got ours, and we don't particularly care about what you've got, so long as you don't take any of ours away.

    Since Nov 2006 • 607 posts Report Reply

  • tussock, in reply to barnaclebarnes,

    What may be better is to work on policies where there is at least some alignment or some willingness to accept a path that aligns.

    That's what the Greens have been doing for 24 years, including as part of the Alliance in '93 and '96. Consensus building, policy by policy. It's slow, they'd rather be in government, but it is what it is.

    They sit in their little idealistic space in the liberal left where people have the time and energy to care about trees, attracting what vote they can, and they write policies for government which benefit their core, which are often taken up due to being so popular.

    It helps when National isn't in, though. Because the National party doesn't really like anything about the Greens policy, unless the returns on investment are crazy high and that investment can be gamed by the rich.

    But they still get some policies in through National governments, and will this time too.

    Since Nov 2006 • 607 posts Report Reply

  • Greg Dawson, in reply to tussock,

    Damn loonies with your rational approach to politics :P

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 294 posts Report Reply

  • tussock, in reply to Dylan Reeve,

    I'm not convinced the foreignness is a *huge* part of it...

    Oh, speaking as someone who's been seen as a foreigner in Nuziland, despite being born here, it's all about the foreignness. This country is incredibly hidebound and inward looking, and readily falls to open hatred of outsiders.

    That's more true south of the Bombay Hills, where Aucklanders are also seen as a bit foreign. And yes, that can get really ugly in a hurry too. When Winston talks about "the Chinese" he really doesn't mean people born here. Those people who tick "New Zealander" on the census are not kidding, they are instead 'not one of those fucking Europeans'.

    Since Nov 2006 • 607 posts Report Reply

  • Sofie Bribiesca, in reply to Russell Brown,

    Yes. And it’s not like he was coming from nowhere – he was bloody close last time. He will make a decent and capable MP and he may well hold that seat for a long time.

    He sat in on Council stuff with the farmers and the likes of the Mayor (ex National) and developers (ex Mayor,/Wayne Brown). Dover Samuels backed him which would have influenced many Maori Kaitaia way,then buddy Winston put the nail in Hones coffin. Result.
    I get the impression he is looking to help grow big business rather than help any poor tho’ e.g. mining . jmo

    here and there. • Since Nov 2007 • 6796 posts Report Reply

  • tussock, in reply to Craig Ranapia,

    what I'm hearing is that Kelvin Davis just got

    what Mana said, before the election, is a huge sum of money and people got dumped on the wider region two days out from the polls, busses and signs and radio and newspaper adds, after Mana had spent theirs and couldn't respond. That it came from all of New Zealand First, National, and Labour. Every single bit of it focused on killing the Mana party with bullshit attack slogans that they had no chance to respond to.

    They could have rolled most MPs in the country with an attack like that. Could've turfed out Dunne easily. A single word from National would take out ACT. Instead, they killed the little party on the left. In a literal massive conspiracy across party lines.


    And thus, the real left gets some money for a change and is again denied a foothold and it's voice. Dirty Politics ain't just National.

    Since Nov 2006 • 607 posts Report Reply

  • Steve Barnes, in reply to Dismal Soyanz,

    That doesn’t occur by only failing to make Josephine Average understand the message. It suggests that she actually dislikes the message (or what she perceives as the message).

    As in what she is told to think by wavey smiley people "the world will end if the loony left and the grizzling greens get in so Party on and vote National party party vote"
    Wavey John, he's cool, party on dude...

    Peria • Since Dec 2006 • 5521 posts Report Reply

  • tussock, in reply to Joe Wylie,

    Given the numbers who voted candidate Labour, party National, I’m not even sure what you mean by National voters.

    It's MMP. I'm not even sure why anyone cares who wins anything other than the minor party toeholds. It's the party vote, eh.

    Since Nov 2006 • 607 posts Report Reply

  • tussock, in reply to Russell Brown,

    particularly through Cunliffe's hapless grasp of the details, it created exactly the uncertainty the voters didn't want.

    That's the bullshit lies Key told right at the end of the second debate. Cunliffe made the mistake of thinking Key might be telling the truth, that the Nats had found some error in the press papers. It was just a tissue of lies, and the media ran with it like usual, ignoring that Key had lied like usual, and then hammering away at Cunliffe for a while just for kicks.

    NB: Explaining is losing. Key always new the lie would cost less than the explanation of why it was wrong.

    Since Nov 2006 • 607 posts Report Reply

  • Keir Leslie,

    Hang on, Hone Harawira, bankrolled to the tune of ~3 million dollars, is complaining the cash strapped Labour Party outspent him? Well, that's his problem really.

    Since Jul 2008 • 1452 posts Report Reply

  • Greg Dawson,

    Brian Easton has an interesting column up on Pundit that theorises, among other things, that the election was early because of an expected slowdown in the economy later in the year.

    I have to admit that it has occurred to me that an economic implosion in the short term might do better for the country in the long term, by forcing change on the change adverse, although only when I'm feeling particularly ungenerous.

    I'm still amazed by how much we choose to ignore the housing bubble and pretend it is the new normal, and expect to go on as we are now forever. Not too different to our approach to climate change though, I guess.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 294 posts Report Reply

  • Sofie Bribiesca, in reply to Keir Leslie,

    Hang on, Hone Harawira, bankrolled to the tune of ~3 million dollars, is complaining the cash strapped Labour Party outspent him? Well, that’s his problem really.

    I thought Internet party was Dot com rolled to the tune of $3,000000.00 and if it's true national NZFirst and Labour did a final push in the North, how much and who bankrolled that? The far North has wealthy Nats. So if labour had nothing,where did it come from?

    here and there. • Since Nov 2007 • 6796 posts Report Reply

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