Hard News by Russell Brown

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Hard News: The Big 2012 US Election PAS Thread

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  • Steve Barnes,

    Attachment

    It could be worse

    Peria • Since Dec 2006 • 5521 posts Report Reply

  • David Hood, in reply to Rich of Observationz,

    Apart from ’08, ’96, ’76,’64 and ’28-48

    I did say Republican President, there are no Republican Bush/Nixon Presidents in those years as Democrats won. If I reword my claim for clarity- Romney is seeking to break the pattern that no Republican since 1928 has become president without a Nixon or Bush on the ticket.

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1443 posts Report Reply

  • Rob Stowell, in reply to Russell Brown,

    I did see a comment yesterday declaring that the Republicans have bungled as many as five Senate races: Akin, Mourdock, can’t recall the others …

    Tammy Baldwin in WI: the GOP were certainly hoping for a win here. But looks like Baldwin will be the first openly gay senator :)

    Whakaraupo • Since Nov 2006 • 2090 posts Report Reply

  • Rob Stowell, in reply to Kyle Matthews,

    Yeah, the Huffington post showed 2 million votes cast in Ohio, 1% reported a while ago. Not good maths.

    It's weird, but probably the early vote results on the one hand, and the precincts reporting on the other...

    Whakaraupo • Since Nov 2006 • 2090 posts Report Reply

  • Rob Stowell,

    Google election results are pretty good if you want to drill down to county level.

    Whakaraupo • Since Nov 2006 • 2090 posts Report Reply

  • Jimmy Southgate,

    Looks to me that Obamas in the stronger position. Assuming they both win their easy & narrow states in the nytimes site then of the tossups Obama can afford to lose Florida, Ohio, and either Virginia or Wisconsin & still get above 270. I think Romney needs 3/4 of those plus Colorado or Iowa.

    Wellingtown • Since Nov 2006 • 103 posts Report Reply

  • Steve Barnes,

    Florida is going to be interesting, again. 50-50 @ 3.30

    Voter Suppression

    A stunning 23 percent of African Americans, the highest figure in the nation, cannot vote due to laws on felon disenfranchisement in Florida. A law signed by Gov. Rick Scott (R) in 2011 also limits voting rights, by making it harder for ex-felons to restore their eligibility and cutting early voting days nearly in half. The result has been chaos during early voting in places like Miami-Dade County, where people have waited in line for as many as eight hours. Florida also has a photo ID law.

    Peria • Since Dec 2006 • 5521 posts Report Reply

  • Andrew Geddis,

    Elizabeth Warren just called the winner of the Massachusetts senate race.

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2007 • 200 posts Report Reply

  • Steve Barnes,

    Vermont, although a safe Blue State, looks like a landslide for Obama compared to '08

    Peria • Since Dec 2006 • 5521 posts Report Reply

  • Paul Campbell,

    Wherever you are .... this year I'm in India on a business trip - it brings back weird memories - 8 years ago we'd packed up our family in California, gone to Burning Man and just kept on driving east, escaped an incoming hurricane in New Orleans, gave away the truck in Atlanta, dragged the kids through the monuments in DC, stayed next to ground 0 in NZ and then dragged the kids around the museums of Europe .... come election day we were in India watching Bush being elected again and as a result feeling good about our move back to NZ

    Today is a weird deja vu

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2006 • 2605 posts Report Reply

  • Steve Barnes,

    Dotcom: African country suspends new site
    Well, we know what happened there don't we?.

    Peria • Since Dec 2006 • 5521 posts Report Reply

  • Rich of Observationz,

    I wonder whether John Key will be voting in Hawaii?

    Back in Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 5550 posts Report Reply

  • David Hood,

    At the moment, the question seems to be "Will Obama win by enough that a final result is not dependent on a recount in Florida"

    Dunedin • Since May 2007 • 1443 posts Report Reply

  • Gareth Ward,

    Obama looking good in Ohio and Florida based on Nate Silver's "important county" exit poll analysis

    Auckland, NZ • Since Mar 2007 • 1727 posts Report Reply

  • Luke Williamson,

    87% reported for Florida and Obama with 0.5% lead.

    Warkworth • Since Oct 2007 • 296 posts Report Reply

  • Kyle Matthews, in reply to David Hood,

    He doesn't need Florida if he gets Nevada and Colorado. That will get him to 274.

    Looking good in Florida though anyway. CNN has him 37000 ahead, 86% counted.

    Since Nov 2006 • 6243 posts Report Reply

  • Russell Brown,

    Colorado's marijuana-leglaisation ballot question is looking good for a "yes". And Massachusetts has passed medical marijuana.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22743 posts Report Reply

  • Gareth Ward,

    Hadn't realised it was as recent as 1968 that an "independent" had actually taken electoral college votes. Maximum ever taken was Teddy Roosevelt post-Presidency with the Bull Moose Party (rad!) getting 88 in 1912.
    #funhistoricalelectoralcollegefacts

    Auckland, NZ • Since Mar 2007 • 1727 posts Report Reply

  • Craig Ranapia,

    So, is there any hard data -- and please don't quote exit polls or cable news projections at me or I'll forget I'm a gentleman. :)

    North Shore, Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 12370 posts Report Reply

  • Ben McNicoll,

    Looks like Todd “women's bodies can shut down pregnancies in case of legitimate rape” Akin lost out to Claire McAskill.

    ABC calling it.

    Here’s the NY Time page:

    http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/results/states/missouri

    Grey Lynn • Since May 2007 • 115 posts Report Reply

  • Gareth Ward, in reply to Craig Ranapia,

    So, is there any hard data -- and please don't quote exit polls or cable news projections at me or I'll forget I'm a gentleman. :)

    So you're looking for 100% counted and verified results in at-play states? Don't think so, no...

    Auckland, NZ • Since Mar 2007 • 1727 posts Report Reply

  • Joe Wylie, in reply to Gareth Ward,

    Attachment

    Teddy Roosevelt

    More Roosevelt fun facts :

    flat earth • Since Jan 2007 • 4591 posts Report Reply

  • Kyle Matthews,

    So, is there any hard data – and please don’t quote exit polls or cable news projections at me or I’ll forget I’m a gentleman. :)

    I'm still waiting on this for Florida 2000 :(

    Since Nov 2006 • 6243 posts Report Reply

  • Andrew Geddis, in reply to Luke Williamson,

    87% reported for Florida and Obama with 0.5% lead.

    Can I just go on record here as saying that Obama is going to win Florida (the bulk of the remaining votes are in Miami-Dade, which he's winning by 2-1)? And so Obama is going to be the next President of the USA.

    You can all turn off your computers/TVs now. I have spoken.

    Dunedin • Since Nov 2007 • 200 posts Report Reply

  • Gareth Ward, in reply to Andrew Geddis,

    You can all turn off your computers/TVs now

    But I called a 300 vote win for him so now have to obsessively check if I'm correct!

    Auckland, NZ • Since Mar 2007 • 1727 posts Report Reply

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