Great stuff, Joshua. I helped with Jamie Strange’s campaign in Hamilton East and it quickly became apparent that there was little desire for any power returning to the Nats. Both Hamilton electorates are now Labour-held, and this follows on from last year’s local body election, where a bunch of reactionaries were turfed out.
I agree completely about the polling exegeses, but I'm going to complain about "admiring write-ups in publications like The Lancet."
That paper was in the journal The Lancet Public Health, which describes itself as " an online-only, open access title in The Lancet's growing family of specialty journals," not The Lancet (founded in 1823, world-famous even in New Zealand).
Also, the paper was written by a bunch of Kiwi scientists, at least some of whom were involved with the NZ Covid response as advisers. So while they're right that the NZ response was excellent, it's not really an independent external confirmation.
This was good, although I would argue the swing to left us because Labour has demonstrated the power of a successful collective repsonse to issues.
The "market" can't protect us from Covid, just as it can't solve every problem.
The swing to the right of the past 30 years has stopped and gone back the other way in 2020.
We need government to fix the big issues - climate change, housing, inequality, etc.
Similar here in Whangaparaoa. A lot of split voting, National for the electorate, Labour for the party.
A hell of a lot of people who have voted National for a long time must have switched to Labour. We may eventually have sound evidence as to why this happened, but I'd think that keeping the Greens out of government is a believable motivation for a lot of people. Along with many other reasons, but it would be the world's biggest coincidence if the lion's share of them wasn't Covid-related in one way or another, as Labour's meteoric rise concided exactly with the pandemic hysteria and there has been basically no other news this year.
Right wing pundits certainly have more than their fair share of idiots. It's a great pity that they are pretty much the only people left that are openly critical of the government any more. I personally would not be singing this government's praise on it's profound left-wing acheivements, most especially not it's authoritarian response to the pandemic, which was a victory for the complete absence of any sensible democratic debate. The ensuing unprecedented destruction of the economy and entire sectors within it is not likely to be fantastic for any left wing spending programme.
Suggesting that the government is now on the verge of taking major action over climate change is particularly fanciful. They literally do not need to go into coalition with the Greens and pretty clearly are not going to. Climate change is not a major hobby horse of Labour's and it certainly is not a major hobby horse of their new found voter support from NZF and National voters. And yes, I too heard Ardern's loud dogwhistle in her victory speech for that new support base. Expect Covid to be the Government's entire priority for another year. I don't think they'll be able to milk 3 years out of it, though, by which time we will certainly see if any major inroads into anything even vaguely resembling left-wing reform actually have materialized. I'm not hopeful. Not even slightly.
Yes, since the National support bled out about equally towards ACT (of all lunatic lost causes), it indicates lack of confidence in National rather than a swing to support any particular policy of the Left. I will be pleasantly surprised if Labour is anything more than a do-nothing government on anything I care about. And, with no coalition partners to blame for lack of action, it'll be entirely Labour's fault if nothing gets done.
since the National support bled out about equally towards ACT (of all lunatic lost causes), it indicates lack of confidence in National rather than a swing to support any particular policy of the Left.
Well apart from their policy of making Covid 19 the only thing anyone could think about all year, which worked out extremely well for Labour. National had nowhere to go because they were outflanked on the right by Labour. They thought they were the party of harsh measures, but they were amateur hour. So yeah..competence. Be careful what you wish for, because people doing the wrong things with high levels of competence isn't a first in human history and it seldom goes well in the long run. I've never felt less politically engaged, because our democracy showed its yellow stripes big time this year. It's the first time I've felt truly embarrassed to be a New Zealander.
it’s authoritarian response to the pandemic, which was a victory for the complete absence of any sensible democratic debate.
The govt created a specific select committee to provide a venue for that debate. They are not responsible for what chair Simon Bridges did with it.
It’s the first time I’ve felt truly embarrassed to be a New Zealander.
I fail to see the relevance of your spurious cavil regarding The Lancet Public Health article.
The Lancet Public Health is one of many specialist titles under the umbrella of The Lancet and all are held to the same high standards - "as trusted sources of information, the Lancet journals set extremely high standards for publishing, and we are committed to ensuring that our editorial processes meet our standards of excellence. "
Ergo the content of The Lancet Public Health is in no way a diminished or somehow less reliable source of quality information or comment.
I am puzzled by why you would try to blatantly claim or infer such a thing.
Others may also be interested in this fine piece from the same source about Lessons from New Zealand's COVID-19 outbreak response
(NB the author Alexis Robert is affiliated with the Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London - no alleged log-rolling there then)
and from another journal under the same umbrella - The Lancet Regional Health Western Pacific there is this fine analysis of NZ and Taiwan's responses and yes, naturally there are New Zealand and Taiwanese authors - one of which is Dr Lucy Telfar Barnard, a long time member of this parish I believe.
Lewis C. Mainzer...
The monarch butterfly has come
to rule upon a purple throne
of stately phlox
in palace gardens bronze and green.
No law prescribes what's orthodox,
no guards attend, no horse, no arms,
no peasants cower in their farms,
no blood avenges ancient harms
for this late-summer king and queen.
Their reign is brief. but all serene.
What can such gentle governing mean?
Do the right thing just this once, you mother fuckers!
New Zealand Labour Party ( our government ) is announcing its exciting new heath policy revamp on Facebook. there will be balloons and party hats. https://twitter.com/nzlabour/status/1384399978261532673
And its MPs are marketing that very exciting and healthy announcement on Twitter because Twitter has a passive audience who are easily manipulated by marketing professionals.
It will possibly be picked up by the adult media and anecdotes of it might be published on hard copy for the 700.000 odd people who are digital technology illiterate.
Facebook is an organisation who have a reputation for attacking democracies with illegally funded propaganda. Such as what’s happened in the US and Britten.
Facebooks crimes are real. The damage is real.
I could get a Facebook account, and a Twitter account to direct traffic.
Any idiot can do that.
Word on the Twitter – sphere, is that the Labour Party ( government) Facebook announcement might also be reported on outside of its official Facebook election campaign page.
The Twitter sphere is also a hum of virtues comments about Facebook sucks.
Imagine going on Twitter to say you don’t have a Facebook account:-)
I'm more the homeless guy on the internet who has turned feral and snarls at the lack of cigaret buts on the street.
Great to see you still here, but if the party (and the Party) is on Facebook, and this place is left to "ferals", spambots, cockroaches, and the occasional lawyer ... doesn’t that mean Facebook is winning on both counts?
like stumbling across another urban explorer ransacking an abandoned hospital searching for scrap metal but carrying a camera as a cover story in case the cops show up, good to see you too.
Facebook has won the minds and souls of millions of people yes. I don’t have any idea what’s in there since someone directed me to a local page that had photographic footage of my car with its roof loaded with building materials. The main commentary was that I must be from a “third world” country and should be sent home ect.
Twitter is a different beast. I’ve been reading but not commenting. It’s teaching me about how reactionary I am. I constantly reach for the keyboard then remember I’m not registered to comment. Then after a few minutes I realise how banal but polite the whole thing is so go and make another cup of tea.
I met a guy (in real life) at a symposium. He was an archivist for Frank Zapper then got into this book club thing where all the members would read the first page together then go and not read the book. They would meet once a month and talk about not reading the book. Thats not a silly thing to do.
Nothing wrong with social media, but full emersion with out question, is kind of stupid for a whole bunch of reasons.
Lemmy from Motorhead spent his old age sitting on a pokey machine, probably suffering loneliness. Could happen to anyone.