Posts by Russell Brown

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  • Hard News: Meanwhile in Iraq ...,

    Here's another robust survey, published in September, that supports the Lancet work:

    The ORB estimate of 1.22 million is very close to Lancet 2 updated according to the IBC body count timeline - 1.16 million. So they reinforce each other.

    We now have four survey estimates from three independent teams of professionals using two different good-practice methods. They all say that the excess deaths in Iraq are hugely greater than the IBC body count, let alone the numbers from the MNF or the Iraqi government.

    More here.

    I think there's a limit to how long it's possible to go on denying the research.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Meanwhile in Iraq ...,

    Russell, I'm not sure pulling out surveys helps in the 'truth' process. There have been other figures eg from the Iraqi Hospital records which put deaths at a much less figure.

    The Lancet study used established methodology, the same as has been used to assess the toll in many other conflicts. And, as I said, it stands alone in having been peer-reviewed.

    The reason you don't think it's helpful is because you don't like what it says.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Meanwhile in Iraq ...,

    Iraq Body Count has 76k to 83k dead since 2003 due to military or paramilitary activity.

    IBC isn't a study or a survey, it's a summary of news reporting.

    The Lancet surveys -- the only peer-reviewed study of deaths associated with the Iraq war -- find 650,000 "excess deaths" (this includes stuff like the cholera epidemic).

    You may not find the results palatable, by the methodology is absolutely standard and has been used repeatedly to measure attrition in conflict zones.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Moron y Moron,

    Not so sure 'bout Clayton Cosgrove as the Sub, but that could just be my hair bias.

    I'm more inclined to wonder about whether he's really the right man for Immigration.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: High Times,

    And considering the nats would like to see me in jail for consuming BZP we know where they stand. Filthy bloody tories!

    It would be nice to think that having shed Newman et al, Act could be the classical liberal party it always should have been. I think there's a real role in a Parliamentary system for that party.

    And I'm not just saying that now - I'm in print to that effect ;-)

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Moron y Moron,

    Does anyone have the inside story about Mark Burton?

    Performed very poorly, took the hint and "stepped down" is probably the extent of it.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Meanwhile in Iraq ...,

    You is still the man Russell
    I took the liberty

    <Blush>

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Meanwhile in Iraq ...,

    I'll point out a local Iraqi wire agency that is increasingly posting dispatches in English.

    Great link!

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Te Qaeda and the God Squad,

    I found Minto's accusations against Trotter over Iraq a bit bizarre, and I haven't been able to find anything Trotter wrote backing Blair's sign-up to the war.

    A few months before the invasion he certainly didn't seem to be on board with the project.

    Meanwhile, from this blog post on the stoush, an amazing Indymedia link.

    Truly. Barking. Mad.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Meanwhile in Iraq ...,

    Former US Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld fled France today fearing arrest over charges of "ordering and authorizing" torture...

    The exercise of universal jurisdiction is looking like a trend:

    George W. Bush currently enjoys official immunity from prosecution, as a serving government official. Come January 2009, he might very well forego visits to Germany, where suits have been filed on behalf of four Iraqi victims of torture.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

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