Hard News: What Now?
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Sophie, These first few days are such "a time". Their actions are just "not the right thing to do". The cellmate comment was for rapists in prison. Surely there is no comparison and it was an appalling comment from an MP anyway. Sho should be leaving any administration of justice to the departments that democracy has decided should dish it out. Police: Find the suspect, put them on trial. Thats their job, Everything else after that they should have no comment. After this week or the next or so I can understand if folk resort to other tactics if things are not going their way or help is not forthcoming. Then I would probably be willing to show some sympathy.
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Sofie Bribiesca, in reply to
Yes, I am always hoping for a better society that takes care of each other and unfortunately I just bat for the underdog in hope of understanding. I actually felt really sad to see 2 young people taking those generators and even more saddened to see a 16 year old who had been so bitter. Says to me we are failing in certain areas as a society. Anyhow as you were (it's only me, but my name has an "F" no "PH" for future reference :) but I sincerely do hope we don't get an increase in thieving.
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Wasn’t one of those convicted in the last few days a Pike River contractor (not looting, but something else)? Sounds like he needs major psychological help, not condemnation.
I think you're referring to the guy who claimed to be qualified for USAR but turned out to be not qualified at all: http://www.nzherald.co.nz/natural-disasters/news/article.cfm?c_id=68&objectid=10709278
He's been charged but not convicted. -
Tom Beard, in reply to
I believe that @thomasbeagle was trying to get the data made public. Having the info on a LIM is alright if you are a buyer or owner. But how about if you are a tennant, employee or your children will go to school or creche in one those buildings?
The earthquake-prone letters that go to building owners from WCC have the following text: "Information regarding the potentially earthquake prone status of the building, including this letter, is publicly available on request and will be included in Land and Project Information Memoranda (LIMs and PIMs)". While LIMs cost money, the wording suggests that it should be available, possibly en masse, via a LGOIMA request. Given the recent proactive release of GIS data by the council, one might hope that such a request would be expected. Also, most (perhaps all? it's not my field) earthquake-prone buildings have to display the notice externally.
Bear in mind that the assessments are largely based upon a combination of external visual inspection and plans lodged with the council, so the engineers have to make a lot of assumptions.
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but my name has an "F" no "PH" for
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Sorry, Habit. I have a niece with a ph.
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Re "the number" (ghastly as it is) the senior police figures are now using 240 as a total number of confirmed dead and missing-feared-dead.
And the rebuilding thing is going to be interesting when laid against Brownlee's comments (paraphrased) of "a heavily insured country which will see huge capital inflows". Given most of those CBD buildings are privately owned, there will be a whole series of corporate private owners that receive significant insurance payouts (direct from their insurer I presume, without EQC involvement?) to rebuild. If you want to shape what they build you can really only do that through pretty strict local planning laws and building codes and I'm not confident that central and local government won't just see that as more "redtape" that "increases costs on people when they least need it". The first story of somebody being blocked from "just rebuilding their home" because "some damn Greeny is trying to force me to go through three commitees and tell me how to build it" will be leapt upon...
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Found this from SF Museum from Mark Twain.
Scenes reminiscent....
Also, probably from a bit further on in the same book but can't find it:
I will set it down here as a maxim that the operations of the human intellect are much accelerated by an earthquake. Usually I do not think rapidly--but I did upon this occasion. I thought rapidly, vividly, and distinctly. With the first shock of the five, I thought--"I recognize that motion--this is an earthquake." With the second, I thought, "What a luxury this will be for the morning papers." With the third shock, I thought, "Well my boy, you had better be getting out of this." Each of these thoughts was only the hundredth part of a second in passing through my mind. There is no incentive to rapid reasoning like an earthquake. I then sidled out toward the middle of the street- and I may say that I sidled out with some degree of activity, too. There is nothing like an earthquake to hurry a man when he starts to go anywhere.
Mark Twain - "The Great Earthquake in San Francisco," New York Weekly Review, 11/25/1865
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Sacha, in reply to
The first story of somebody being blocked from "just rebuilding their home" because "some damn Greeny is trying to force me to go through three commitees and tell me how to build it" will be leapt upon.
Shaping the argument is really important - reminding people that "red tape" saved many lives; highlighting future challenges; showing them what other inspiring cities look like.
Then explaining what it takes to get there - coordinated and expert planning for the future as well as the now, with all parties around the table and a long-term commitment.
The alternative is cheap knee-jerk individualism that gifts our children and theirs a crap place to live if we can persuade them to stay here at all. We just need to show them large chunks of Auckland's cbd to illustrate that option.
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Just going back to monuments and the cathedral, it struck us today while we were sitting on the front porch having a gin with our friend Andrew that, somewhere in the rubble, are the Cathedral bells. They'll be knocked about, but largely intact. And they could make a lovely memorial - with the uneasy caveat that they will have killed people, probably.
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At the end of the day I can't help but think that true to the NZ way, Christchurch will be rebuilt in the classic NZ style of "Leaky". :o(
Developers will almost always go for the cheapest option to then flog off as the perfect property.
I'm also expecting National to use this as an excuse to accelerate welfare reform/cuts as "We need to save money to pay for Christchurch"..... i am wondering if the EQC insurance scheme will also become a target? -
I’d love to see the CBD rebuilt full of life and future facing. First thoughts are:
A city that feels light, airy, and strong. The first Europeans here wanted the solidity of stone that harked back to a European past, made them feel secure about their future here. It doesn’t seem secure any more, and we should face the future. A city designed to be post-oil is an intriguing notion.
And a city centre that’s not a collection of great square towers. Maybe a six-storey limit, with a few exceptions. There’s no great need to build massive towers.
I’d like to add: a city built for beauty. But we’d argue forever and roll fighting into the Avon, to drown or be poisoned :) -
I'm also expecting National to use this as an excuse to accelerate welfare reform/cuts as "We need to save money to pay for Christchurch"..... i am wondering if the EQC insurance scheme will also become a target?
Not exactly welfare but....that'l be working for families and student loans. Bill wouldn't dream of rolling back tax cuts.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10709454
FWIW. Bin the holiday highway for a start....
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Robyn Gallagher, in reply to
Why not a transparent Cathedral spire?
Tempered glass and a wholly holy view?I've been interested to discover that the cathedral spire has sustained previous earthquake damage and been rebuilt. Quakes in 1881, 1888 and 1901 damaged the spire, with the tip being rebuilt in timber and copper, lighter than the previous builds in brick and stone.
So perhaps it's now time for another tip for the spire to meet the needs of Christchurch 2011.
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It's so depressingly predictable to see the Nats implementing a bit of disaster capitalism on the back on the earthquake. "It's an emergency, right? We all have to make sacrifices, OK? Oh, except for the highest income earners and the blessed business sector."
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I object to an idiot taking antique door knobs.
So would I in normal circumstances but something made me stop; door knobs when all that is going on around you? This morning we find out why.
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Oh dear, I think The Standard just made a funny:
I’m really pissed off that politics has come into the Christchurch earthquake so quickly.
Ah, yes… because there’s nothing “ideological” and “political” about deciding you already know what the evil Tories are going to do before they do it. Of course, it would have been just as “political” – and without an electoral mandate, which seems to be furrowing Peter Dunne’s brow this morning – if English had announced that every tax cut passed over the last decade was being reversed, in conjunction with increases in company and personal tax, but I guess it ain’t “political” or “ideological” if you agree with it.
FFS, I’ve come to accept that the Kiwibog-Standardista Axis of Hackery is what it is, but I wish they were a little less prone to projection. Or at the very least, if you're going to play politics own your shit.
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So, when is it OK to talk in a political way about the future?
I'd say that when the deputy PM says that everything is on the table for discussion, though makes it clear some things are more on the table than others, then he has started the political discussion,.
At which point, if others don't join in and consider the pros and cons, they are neglecting their duty.
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Christopher, I fear that this is the tip of the iceberg. People with autism will already be very stressed by the earthquake, and will have all sorts of reactions that others won't understand. I hope he gets some help now.
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Craig Ranapia, in reply to
First, since I was one of the people who asked Russell to open this thread so we could get political without insensitively treading over other more reflective threads, I obviously think there is a time and place for politics. But we're also not pretending we're not doing it.
I’d say that when the deputy PM says that everything is on the table for discussion, though makes it clear some things are more on the table than others
Really? This is a lot less "clear' to me than it obviously is to you:
Mr English said in terms of income support the Government would continue to "protect the vulnerable" – a likely signal that cuts to Working for Families would be limited to those on high incomes. A highly placed Government source said advice from the Treasury included the option of a higher abatement rate on Working for Families payments, meaning those on higher incomes would receive less.
It could also tighten the eligibility criteria and examine ways to make the student loan scheme "more affordable", though this would not see an end to interest-free loans.
"Will there be radical changes? No," the source said.
And despite what some people are claiming, I've seen no evidence that English has explicitly ruled out deferring the April 1 business tax cut. Please correct me if I'm wrong., 'cause we're #biasedtoreality around here.
If we were in some Fringe-style alter-verse where Michael Cullen was still Finance Minister/Deputy PM, I'm sure he could say exactly the same thing as English and the Kiwibog would seething with assumptions that the God-damned Liarbore Dykeocracy was softening up the plebs for more envy tax. I'd still say that it might be worth rtaking a deep breath until there was something solid to argue about. IMO and YMMV, of course.
FWIW, I broadly agree with Bernard Hickey here. I'd even go a bit further and cynically (if, perhaps counterintuitively) argue that a small increase in the top personal tax rate and company tax, with a clear sunset clause and all income clearly ring-fenced for quake recovery, would not only be fair but good politics. It not only would drive the Kiwiboggers fucking insane, but while Labour and the Greens would argue it doesn't go far enough, they wouldn't vote against it.
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where Michael Cullen was still Finance Minister/Deputy PM
The Craig bot strikes again.
There is a fun-filled drinking game in this.
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The curious response of Key opens him to serious accusations of being a plutocrat who is not prepared to share the burden of the recovery fairly.
Key (and the rest of the rich?) seemingly think they can cheer our efforts to save the SS Christchurch from a well-appointed super-yacht, and will only carefully clamber back aboard once the rest of us emerge dirty, soaked and exhausted from our damage control efforts and declare the everything ship shape and Bristol fashion.
Or it may just be that Key and English are so wedded to the voodoo economics of trickle down (and Victorian morality) that their administration is an economic one trick pony with no more ideas in it’s intellectual cupboard.
But the Herald’s editorial today makes the point well. We are willing to be taxed a bit extra to save Christchurch and preserve our social safety net. Put a sunset clause in the legislation if you must. But just do it.
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Awww c'mon Craig I wasn't being quite that bad.
Changes to a planned cut in business tax on April 1 had not been considered.
Despte the fact that it will cause problems here in the cardboard-cup towers I agree on interest free student loans. They had to change - just a question of when.
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JLM, in reply to
Re the cathedral bells, the fallen bells at the Marienkirche in Lubeck, left as a memorial when rebuilt after air-raid destruction, are what I remember most clearly 30 years later.
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Craig Ranapia, in reply to
The Craig bot strikes again.
@Tom: Do you actually disagree that if Cullen was still finance minister today the Kiwibog would have been throwing out enough methane to speed up global warming by a couple of decades? If so, +10,000 points for endearing naivete, but I don’t see any evidence to change my view that Kiwibog and the Sub-Standard are now, and ever shall be, substantial net contributors to anthropogenic global stupidity.
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So would I in normal circumstances but something made me stop; door knobs when all that is going on around you? This morning we find out
Memo: One must cease waving the wide broom of generalisation......
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